stock market closed next friday predictions edition
>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.koyfin.com/
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners:https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/
>Optionshttps://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
>Boomer Investing 101:https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://tradingeconomics.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://wallmine.com/
https://fintel.io/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
Previous:
>>60548868
>up 12% on NVDA
>can't stop thinking about selling and taking the profit
what are you thoughts?
sold GALT bags. its just not worth it to sit on stocks that don't move for days or even months
>>60550898Taking profits before it crashes is a good bet boss.
Will SPY hit 612 before 1pm
>>60550898sell 50% of your stake, so you take some profits and also leave some in the tank for gains
>>60550905but you're forgetting two things
1. line always goes up
2. short term capital gains tax is a jewish scam
>>60550898posting about it is basically the same as taking a pic so id honestly just take profits
>0.75% expense ratio
>yikes
YWNBAW
I'm up 85.6% right now. Your expense ratios can eat my shit.
GALT baggies? MOASS soon?
maybe traders are getting more bullish now that the likelihood of dying in nuclear hellfire has decreased since last week
C16
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I've lost my confidence for some reason. I really haven't taken too many hits, but I just haven't been making the same plays that won me money in the past. I'll look at a stock and get a good feeling, but I just don't pull the trigger for some reason. Maybe my personal issues are the cause, and I need to find a way to decouple them from my trading.
Will Nvidia hit $160 this month?
>>60550938both AMD and NVIDIA will be up significantly by the end of the year, i've got NVDA 180C, GOOG 190C, AMD 170C 10x each Nov expiration
>>60550888 (OP)Ive been trading the first hour of spy each morning and most of my trades have been really successful, specially in late may to mid june. Now its all gay and choppy, anyone got any other etfs or stocks to daytrade?
PNBK
Nowโs your chance to board the rocket
>>60550936Just stop giving a fuck. It's literally that simple.
>>60550926whoever shilled this GALT garbage thank you
>>60550983It's nearly 10pm in Mumbai right now so they might have logged off for the night
Bought real stocks like CRCL instead of wasting my time with GALT
>>60550936Try to learn from other traders that fail first and do your best not to imitate them.
https://old.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1ll0h0k/for_those_who_sold_out_of_the_market_earlier_this/
>>60550926Is it gonna go higher you think? How did you know it would shoot up?
Selling the bottom kinda hurts bros
Nvo needs to stop fucking me in the ass.
Newfag here, I feel retarded for not buying in trumps spergout
Been putting 1k a month into voo as idk what the fuck I'm doing. Made ok gains over the last year but marginal
Should I instead save cash until there's another trump retardation/war / pandemic then mass buy when everything is in a bear market.
>i've hit the 500k mark
I'M FUCKING EUPHORIC
Am I tarded for just dribbling money into a range of Yieldmax stocks each day? Got around a grand in and pulling ten bucks a week in dividends.
>>60551015>Am I tarded for just dribbling money into a range of Yieldmax stocks each day?Yes.
>>60551007>investing in companies from communist europoor countriesngmi
>>60550975I also came to that conclusion, but last couple retard pumps have made it hard to make the change.
>>60550990I don't regret selling because, while I lost money, I would have been holding extremely heavy bags if I'd waited for Liberation Day to hit. My mistake was listening to the doomers and not buying the doomp.
I will admit posting here could become challenging
but I guess I will have to learn and adapt.
Good thing I am smart that way.
https://youtu.be/9r3-awy73c8?si=Tb5qkN55raZwS5jg
>>60551015>10$ /weeekSlow down, high roller.
>>60551012Smol gains while youre still learning the ropes is a genuine blessing. Dont kick yourself for winning
>omg good data we are so back POOOOOOMp
>omg bad data the fed will cut despite saying they can't POOOOOOOOOOOMp
>>60551015>YieldmaxBeen looking at these myself lately. I'll bump for an answer. As far I know, these ETFs tend to (usually) pay out more than they earn overtime, eroding your capital investment as a trade off for the high dividends. If the high dividends outpaces the (hopefully low) erosion of your capital, or if your capital breaks even, you make a hefty profit/income, the ETF appreciates in value even better. Just have to watch the NAV erosion while holding these. However I havent bought any, this is just from research, perhaps someone who owns one or a few of these can shed some more light.
>>60551012Take it from someone who lost $50k thinking he knew better than everyone else - don't. Never sell that VOO, keep putting money into it, maybe give yourself a tiny bit of gambling money to play around, but do not, I repeat, do not think you can do better. Always have a 90% safe investment portfolio, the rest can be fun.
>>60551012You should be more aggressive. My 2 cents.
>>60550936Sounds like you need to go through mental breakdown or other drastic transformative event
>>60551062reddit-tier advice
Joby trannies I have no idea what this means but line go up
>>60550905I actually doubt it will crash because the dollar is very oversold. At least won't be betting on it.
>>60551059You are just paying someone else fees to sell small amounts of your stock every quarter. Absolutely retarded. Just sell when you need capital or invest in companies that pay dividends out of their cashflow from operations. It's also tax inefficient and has lower liquidity.
Bullish on COST. They're opening earlier on weekdays for exclusive members. Tons of boomers line up 20 minutes beforehand already like it's an early bird special. They've still got a lot of hoarded wealth to spend towards my shares.
$ALT got heemed after mixed trial results for mash therapy . Sell GALT
>>60551013Congrats anon
>>60551012Always keep some cash on hand to slurp dips
>>60551066don't care what retards think
>>60551071Costco is like my favorite store boss.
>>60551068>>60550905I mean chatgpt once told me when the dxy rises the market tends to rise with it but it has been totally wrong until now. But it sounds good. Typical chatgpt financial advice...
https://youtu.be/Z4pSFl6u31Y?si=PA5wdXk938y8rwsg
Status report on bobo? Haven't heard a single whisper from him all day.
I'm sorry, but this isn't fucking normal any longer.
Anybody who believes it is has to answer why the market retraced at all to begin with and why the SPX hasn't gone straight to ~7500pts from late February.
I franky do not believe that "retail is buying", passive index investing and automatic DCA is stronger in magnitude than it has been in February or before. It's still there, at least as strong as it has been in February or before. But I honestly have a hard time to believe that "a bit more than usual" can move mountains... or rather shift tectonic plates like this.
Some BIG entities got to be leveraged to the tits, times infinity AND choreographing in the same dance routine as all their peers.
If this doesn't end in tears, soon, then I can only conclude:
>SPX at ~6000pts is UNDERVALUED by at least 100%
>No reason for SPX not to x2 by EOY
The market may never go down again
There are other non-leveraged indexes with better returns than VOO anyway.
>>60551068What makes you think the dollar is oversold? Retail barely touches forex so itโs not just anti burger sentiment
>>60551070If you want to trade full time you have still have to have income coming in from somewhere else. This is why Hedge Funds charges fees for everything they do, instead of just profiting themselves off their own stock picks. It's unrealistic to just expect income solely from investing and trading stocks. You should have a mix of both income instruments (bonds, dividends) and speculative instruments strictly for capital gains. YieldMax provides an interesting alternative to solution for an income instrument.
>>60551071I remember when I used to have a Sam's club membership they'd open a couple hours earlier for business accounts. It was nice shopping without the brownoids who bring their entire families to the store.
>>60551096imagine not holding TQQQ
>>60551087No, when the dollar goes up, market goes down, because its more profitable to hold cash. When the dollars weakens, that is inflationary, meaning asset/stock prices go up.
>>60551063>mental breakdown or other drastic transformative eventIf I don't walk out of my event of Saturday with a girl's number, I'm going to dive into the hellscape that is online dating. I don't know if that counts, though.
>>60551103Heaven above, you can ask Grok.
>>60551105>when the dollar goes up, market goes downWhen the SPX peaked in late February, the Dollar Index at that point in time was at a multi-year-high of ~108pts.
Dogshite analcyst you're spewing here.
OOOOH TRUMP CAN YOOOOOU SEEEEEEEE
>>60551051divvies are so expensive. you could make that daily with just $100
ASML espionage
> The Dutch Public Prosecution Service (Openbaar Ministerie, OM) on Thursday demanded a four-year prison sentence for German A., a 43-year-old former employee of ASML, accused of industrial espionage benefiting Russia
I think bullish bc it suggests that ASML retains their massive lead, and Russia is not even close to capable of recreating anything from the information they got. US or China would be bad news
what do you do when you're in a situation where you're worth more dead than alive?
not sure the exact dollar amount, but could be $800k+
there's also an expiration date, at which point the extra money disappears
>>60551099Didn't really think about it but at least I will be able to make a cheap sex tourism holiday in the U.S. if this continues. Good thing I know all the places thanks to my boy scoops.
>>60551115It's not always going to be autistic textbook tick to tick movements like that you idiot, this is the global economy and shit can happen anywhere on the planet that causes a mismatch in movements. Today the dollar is collapsing and the market is close to breaking a new high, as would expected. Learn the absolute basics you fucking iPad kid retard before talking to the adults in the room.
>>60551118Not with my cutting edge buy high sell low strategy. I exist to get fisted when I try daytrading.
>>60551125>sex tourism in the USAHave never considered this for obvious reasons
>>60551128Seems a little harsh anon
>>60551128>the dollar is at a multi-year-high and the market is at an all time high>the dollar is collapsing and the market is at an all time high>it's not always as i proclaim it to be but I'M NOT THE RETARDYou should just shut your fucking mouth.
>>60551115the dollar also fell in march/april due to tariffs which set off a loss of faith in the USD, that's why yields also got so weird for what was a bearish market. seems like we've switched back to the usual market goes up, dollar goes down now though
>>60551145Look at the Japanese Nikkei vs their Yen currency over the past 5 years you dumbass. Weak currency= inflation= stocks go up. A time tested truth as old as capitalism itself. Or don't, I don't give a fuck, the more retards FOMOing their cash in the markets, the more profitable it is for me. Thanks for providing liquidity to the markets.
>6 hours of pumping session
>>60551039Or it was priced in, but not as it was priced in. That's the beauty of the meme. You can't tell if, if you can't tell by how much.
>>60551162don't be ashamed that it wasn't smarts or intelligence of yours that brought you the gains in your portfolio but unprecedented outside circumstance, completely out of the realm of your influence.
it's ok.
you didn't make the markets go up, nor down, not from your analysis, nor your doing.
that's why you are free to believe in schrรถdingers dollar index/market relation ;-)
I'm going to goon to doujins now while we pump
>>60551147Trump was sworn in as President at the end of January. The weeks proceeding that were just the markets trying to make sense of his very sudden aggressive/volatile political and trade maneuvers both domestically and globally, causing all sorts of mismatches in valuations across the board. It's not more complicated than that. Roughly 6 months in to his Presidency now however things have settled down and stabilized into more predictable territory.
>CLCR
I knew this shit would bounce back.
Now it's CRWV turn.
>>60551208NTR/ cuckolding
>>60551189>smug anime girl react imageDidn't read.
I think it's really dangerous to go in right now. The tariff deadline is due in literally 2 weeks. I think the market has forgotten about tariffs all together.
based
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>RUMOR: Xbox laying off 1000-2000 people. Studios may be shuttered
>>60549700https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-25/startup-backed-by-reebok-co-founder-to-design-shoes-in-space
>>60551227I has a feeling theyโre not gonna let spy hit ATH today so big boys can ride the opening at pump tomorrow and collect profits
>>60551227Is this tarrif that you're seeing in the room with us now?
>>60551227shut up powell you know nothing will happen
finally the wait is paying off!!!!
>>60551238I am running a spy 612/613 bear call right now, hopefully tomorrow it's profit taking day and we retrace a bit
>>60551227>in literally 2 weeksno chance of a 14th extension?
>>60551227>The tariff* deadline is due in literally 2 weeks*Next round of delays
>>60550748>PBR, EC, HAFN, TRMDi thought about this strategy but decided to stick with SGOV as my core because im attracted to the high liquidity and virtually risk free status. with these oil stocks, something could happen to blow up your principle at the worst timing, when you need to rotate out cash. im happy with the consistent 4-5% from bond etfs
but im curious, how do you keep track of when some of these stocks fall out of favor, or there are better dividend stocks out there for you to rotate into? to me it seems like more stress and less passivity for a few more bucks
>>60551212>Now it's CRWV turn.CRWV in talks to buy Core Scientific
Gonna poomp or nah?
I'm so glad I didn't buy tanker stocks.
I kept telling you guys that freight rates were skyrocketing but I had no position because the vibes were off but I couldn't figure out why.
Whew. Bullet dodged.
Another point for "don't be an active investor you are too dumb for it".
>>60550748>HAFN, TRMDI don't know about the others but these two are my area of expertise.
Shipping stocks are not "dividend stocks" in the traditional sense. It has cycles. Tankers are now into the 3rd year of a very good cycle, but it's been in decline since Q4 2024. It might last or it might not last but then the cycle ends the profits also end and so do the dividends. Until the next cycle which may be years away.
>>60551292Also when I told you guys I had no position but I couldn't understand why, someone here said "follow your instincts" and I'm so glad I did and stayed out. Thank you anon.
>>60551227If the orange man can't even get to work on banning TikTok then I'm pretty sure that the tariffs will get delayed too.
>>60551284>how do you keep trackoil is cyclical and therefore so are the stocks. I do not have a large position % wise, maby about 20k or so (depends a bit on the price of the stocks) and I get about 24k of dividends and interest/year (in other stocks) and I invest, or at least try to invest in, newer companies like D-Wave, RGTI, JOBY, ARCH while they are cheap (<$10) and just let them ride for a year or two. If one blows up and goes 2-10x I dump it and add the cash to a more conservative treasury ETF. While I am waiting the divies and interst roll in and I invest that was well. I am newer to options and now trade options a bit and take those premiums to buy the pontial growth stocks as well. I do not trade every day, sometimes I take weeks off, check back and see how things are going.
>WH Press Sec. Leavitt: No Plans To Extend July 9 Trade Deadline
- Trade Deadline Change Would Be Trump's Decision
Sure thing
>>60551292>I'm so glad I didn't buy tanker stocks.it depends on when you buy them. Buy when they are low, they have wide price swings. Stock suggetions are suggestions not a gaurantee for someone to jump in and make money in days or weeks.
>>60551315He's going to end up extending them until the next administration. Probably roll back the 10% as well
>>60551315Good thing i dont have the power to change my own deadlines otherwise literally nothing would ever happen
Can the shitcoin known as the US dollar stop dumping. It's down 14% against my local currency YTD. I would be crushing the market right now if not for the dollar falling. Now I'm barely breaking even instead.
>White House: July 9 deadline for trade deals not important
lmaoooooooooooo
>>60551227My issue is that it feels bubbly regardless of tariffs.
The yield curve came out of inversion in late 2024, before Trump and before tariffs.
The economy has been slowing down. Unemployment rising. New homes sitting unsold. Q1 2025 GDP was negative - again this was before tariffs.
Meanwhile P/E multiples are extremely high. The "Buffett indicator" at all-time high. Consumer sentiment crashing. PMI negative.
The new trend is that "nothing ever happens" and that none of this matters but I am very worried.
>>60551299Agreed and understood. The dividends I receive have already been invested in other stocks, with the plan that those stocks will more than offset any price decline by the tanker stocks. I may be wrong, but if you track the dividends and keep track of your cost basis even selling the stock at a lower price than you paid can still be profitable, no?
>>60551309>>60551319The world is going to call Trump a huge pussy if he rolls the tarrifs back again.
Trump doesn't like being called a pussy.
>>60551340Who's gonna call him a pussy? EU? He'll break up NATO. China? No chips for you.
>>60551332Did you know that valuations are bubbly 99% of the time and only see brief moments of sanity during world shaking crisises before going insane again?
Did you know sitting out on 500%, 1000%, 1500% etc gains just to try to time a 50%-80% drawdown makes no sense? Did you know? Even if you did buy the exact bottom, the guy who was in the whole time is beating you.
It never FEELS like a good time to invest. Every year feels like its on the brink of collapse. Stop being emotional
>>60551329They're going to say it was just a deadline for starting talks, and since most countries are talking then they're extending the deadline or outright getting rid of it.
>>60551351I won't stay out of the market I'm just thinking of shifting the bulk of my portfolio to 60/40 instead of 80/20.
The us economy is literally powered by bubbles
I don't get the fear
They pop oh nooo
Then there's a new one
>>60551332>The yield curve came out of inversion in late 2024This is the one actually worth caring about
>>60551351Depends on what you're buying, meme garbage will go to 0. 1000% of 0 is still 0
>>60551373Well obviously when it comes to individual companies you should be taking profits from big winners in your portfolio and rolling them into proper buy and hold forever investments like VOO. Bubbles come and go. America is here for the long haul though. Ride every bubble.
>>60551362Then there's no need for hurry for the other countries and this uncertainty about tariffs is bad
>>60551332>Meanwhile P/E multiples are extremely high. Now look at forward PE, that's basically flat.
>>60551233If it isn't about AI Investors won't care
>>60551381>taking profits from big winners in your portfolio and rolling them into proper buy and hold forever investments like VOO.this is my strategy even if i do not explain it well
>>60551386>flatLook at the the year 2000, that was during the extremely obvious dotcom bubble. We're already approaching that.
>buy 100 shares of le dividend
>receive 2000 per 3 months , get taxed on it, unrealized pl dumps after
>buy 100 shares of nvdia of pltr
>sell covered calls weekly, receive like 200 usd per week from covered calls, unrealized pl also climbs improving your margin limits
Dividends are memes
Oh , we need to pump another 2 hours, and then pump another time in the last minute.
37d
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Once again, posters believe something will happen, outside of a multi-week negative slide. Gentlemen, nothing ever happens.
>The weeks proceeding that
>>60551386I don't like looking at forward P/E
Also reminds me that many tech companies are currently spending close to or even over 100% of their operating cashflows on capex + shareholder returns (buybacks/dividends). Essentially transferring everything to Nvidia.
That's not sustainable long term and definitely not if there is any kind of slowdown.
>>60551416>>60551402Sounds pretty complicated desu I'm sure actual hedgefunds would be selling if there was a reason to fear a bubble
>>60551313very similar to what im doing but im more like 60/40 in sgov and growth conviction picks because my portfolio is smol and i need growth. im going to inject more capital eventually to balance it out, and then only use the sgov divs to do risk plays. but when im big enough i guess it makes sense to diversify my passive income strategy like you said here
>SPY retard pumping
>BRK.B dumping
It's actually over for them, isn't it?
>>60551406>get taxed on itnot in my retirement account tard, tax free.
If you don't have a retirement account for biggest gains you are losing. Roth, 401k, IRA something for the long term growth. Only growth stocks in your brokerage (taxable) account to avoid taxes.
JOBY swinging bros, finally got positive returns
God damn, maybe /smg/ really is a reddit general
>>60551227The big pause on China doesn't expire until August. Still, I agree, I wouldn't buy at all time highs either.
So ATH has to be hit today
Feels Insanely overbought and toppy
i shall be placing a -100% tariff on the make of mozzarella sticks
>'EU Considers Lowering Tariffs on U.S. Imports in Bid to Woo Trump'- WSJ
>>60551336silly girl im sure there are toilets in the house...
>>60551469#Golden_Age boss
>>60551427>my portfolio is smolwhen small your small continuous monthly contributions are very important for growth. Most of your holdings should be safer longer term holds.
I went all in on shorting qqq and down 500k
I constantly think of doing harm to myself everyday during market hours
i hate this rat race society so much
>>60551469right move, on cars. nobody is buying them anyways. Nobody even knew there were tariffs on US cars.
>>60551431Euros dont have access to those .
In fact us euros do not invest, do not take loans, just wageslave, live in the houses our parents left us and wait to die.
I need to change my DCA day to something else. Thursday is too green on average. I'm switching to Tuesdays.
man nigvidia keeps on going up, maybe those 250 target cunts werent as retarded as i thought
>>60550904w-we'll get them tomorrow
>>60551484You DCA every week? What about commissions?
I've been doing it twice a year and I thought I should break it up more
>>60551484I DCA on payday. Have I been doing it wrong? I wonder what the reddest day of the week is, on average.
>>60551479>I went all instop doing that, that is not investing.
>>60551475yea its just a temporary set up while i free up more capital for the core i nthe next weeks
>>60551493>You DCA every week? This is for a new account I started to run a DCA strategy. I have an initial sum I decided to allocate by buying once per week over the course of a year
>What about commissions?My broker is zero commission
>>60551500Investopedya says it's Monday
https://www.investopedia.com/day-trading/best-time-day-week-month-trade-stocks/
It probably makes no difference at all for this kind of strategy but buying on what is usually the greenest day of the week this year has been giving me the ick
>>60551482I thought you guys could have separate account from the island for Jersey or Gurnsey and trade whatever you wanted. Just move to another country for a while and open more accounts while in those countries? There has to be some work around.
>>60551479why would you do that during ath euphoria
>market goes down, insane amount of buying
>market goes up, no selling at all, absolutely 0
Did we just hit a new ATH today? How is this market real. People just ignoring all the fucking rot?
>>60551526Friday doomp then buy for Monday poomp
>>60551326Idgi, percentage gains in stocks are the same regardless of what currency your broker displays prices in, are you holding US dollars bc thatโs your own fault right there
>>60551526imagine selling and missing out on tomorrows gains
>>60551519Yeah, I know that's the point of DCAing but it feels dumb buying at ATHs
>>60551528No but we're like a dollar or two away
>>60551343>NATOAre burgers still somehow convinced after all this that without them Russia would roll the EU. Also he has not done shit and will continue to not do shit
>>60551519>My broker is zero commissionHow do they make money then?
>>60551426Hedge funds have to make money every quarter or they will die, a bubble popping will kill them either way so thereโs no point in them trying to time it
>>60551482Euros save much more than burgers, so euro banks do the investing instead of retail. Theyโre also poorer in general thoughbeit
On the subject of brokers: do you guys only use 1?
I have an IBKR big boy account but I also have an account with a local bank.
The local bank are absolute thieves charging 0.6% on all trades and 0.2% per year on the entire portfolio value.
But on the other hand, do I put all of my eggs into the IBKR basket? What if something happens?
At least I can drive to the bank's offices here.
>>60551522Long term bonds are very improperly priced and when corrected would cause a correction on equites as well
and then there's inflation, dollar collapse, unemployment rising, and a outrageous SP500 PE average of 29. I refuse to believe earnings are this high with an interest highest its been in 15 years
>>60551548They probably invest a lot of the cash holdings, like how Revolut makes money on free currency exchange
>>60551548Selling your order flow data to (((market makers)))
>>60551482some euros do actually have, scandis at least.
>>60551560for a lot of them the house or apartment is their biggest "investment"
If things were going to fall apart, like "the bubble" bursting, surely it would've happened in April, right? Like that was the perfect nucleation event.
>>60551562can someone please school me or tell me im retarded
literally losing my mind on a daily basis
>>60551584bulls more euphoric than ever!
>>60551585it didn't happen because he backtracked
So if it rejects here we have a double top. If it doesn't we're going to spy 10,000.
>>60551562there is no such thing as improperly priced. its a perfect balance of supply and demand
>QS up 30%
I forgot I was holding this. my cost avg is 6.23 so yay
>>60551590Stocks only go up idiot
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH
>>60551595A nucleation event doesn't need a follow through, it's a catalyst to start a sell-off. If the market truly was overvalued or unstable, him backtracking (after weeks), wouldn't enter in the equation, the market would drop, people would "wake up" to the true value of their holdings, sell, or whatever else happens.
>>60551608>valuethere's no value, it's just "when is nobody buying after me"
BBAI bros we are opening above 7 tomorrow
>>60551561Im a euro and I only use ibkr. Ibkr is more reliable than any euro bank.
Yeah, ok, we are getting the ATH today. It appeared for 10 min as if it went alive, but the moment it catches itself, it's just slowmotion shit again.
oig44
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it's another ramen for lunch while the markets pump for no apparent reason kind of day
>>60551426They have been selling. The current market is propped up by retail investors that started trading during the covid lockdowns. These are inexperienced investors that have never traded through a proper recession.
>>60551664Terrible investment
right now we are in a period of optimism which will be followed by a new paradigm boss
>>60551464someone missed the dip
wtf I just got a "Silver Alert" on my phone
Am I supposed to buy some silver now?
>>60551660>They have been selling. The current market is propped up by retail investors that started trading during the covid lockdowns. These are inexperienced investors that have never traded through a proper recession.People keep saying that but there's zero indication that's it's true. Source?
>>60551562ready to be wrong again bobo? no point going short yet
>>60551704Am I supposed to know what that means?
so everyone, and i mean EVERYONE has made a profit in the last 3 months
i have a feeling the money printers are printing trillions without announcing it, thats the only thing that explains the insane optimism in the markets, despite all the news/metrics/statistics indicating a recession
obvious ATH in the last 10 min
>>60551722It isn't panic selling if you just calmly walk to the exit while we're at all time highs boss.
>>60551733Followed by post market profit taking
>>60551724China is.
Their economy is basically at a standstill but the banks are printing money like no tomorrow.
No more defaults on bonds, everybody gets rolled over.
No longer looking at loan to book value ratios.
Chinese leasing banks had their final hurdle cleared in a stimulus package about a month ago: 0% RRR (reserve requirement ratio). Literally unlimited money.
It sounds insane but the world's second largest economy is now operating on the same principles as Communist Yugoslavia.
>>60551718Every reputable business news source is saying this, e.g. wsj, bloomberg, ft, reuters, etc. They have ways to differentiate between institutions vs retail. For example, a lot of institution oriented funds have minimums in the millions, that retail investors wouldn't touch.
>>60551746sounds like they're missing out huh
>>60551748Only if you believe the market is fairly valued.
>>60551746They must be democrats and gotten biased by politics
>>60551746Institutions are panicans
>>60551756Who cares about all that juju just follow the price action and don't fight it and you're good
>>60551746Retail knows something the hedge funds dont it seems lol.
I think its time to look into getting some LEAP puts, hmmm
>>60551746I don't disagree but hedge funds have traditionally gone short after markets have bottomed and missed out on the upside.
>>60551765It's not just hedge funds vs retail, the trend is also in high vs low income.
>In a given month, lower-income individuals were four times as likely to transfer funds to investment accounts in 2023 compared to 2015.Source: https://www.jpmorganchase.com/institute/all-topics/financial-health-wealth-creation/the-rise-in-retail-investing-roles-of-the-economic-cycle-and-income-growth
The shoeshine boy is running the markets right now.
>>60551761>just follow the price action and don't fight itliteral redoot option gambler advice
or just become a crack addict and buy/sell furiously every 1.5 seconds
Just made about $900 from XLF calls!
>>60551773My boss is high income and he has his funds into some kind of bank packaged product that pays about 4% per year with 3.6% annual fees and various penalties for early withdrawal.
I wouldn't transfer more money into that crap if I was him either.
>>60551746Institutions are always slow to react to economic sediments and lag behind as they wait for new rounds of data.
>>60551777becoming a crack addict is good too better than being a bear
POWER TEN MINUTES PLEASE
PUMP IT NOW
WE NEED TO GO BACK UP
HIGHER HIGHER HIGHER
JEROME PLEASE
Number must go up because every Friday millions upon millions of 401k are automatically depositing their monies into equities, inflation continues to kill our dollar, and you have the drip faggots
>>60551773...relative to baseline
>>60551766Not me, I sold the top when it reached 3
>>60551777Or do theta plays and win 90% of the time
>>60551799I'm fairly convinced that this bubble will continue until people start losing their jobs. Once people are unemployed, those millions will stop flowing into 401ks and people will start pulling out of the market out of necessity.
>>60551799Look dog, I only drip because of the gonorrhea.
>>60551814mass layoffs raise stock prices
>>60551802Well of course, high income is always more invested than low income.
>my us index funds going up
>dollar going down
I am not making money despite being 80% into the s&p500. Clown world as an eu cuck. The fucking dollar WILL recover... r-right?
>>60551828I've been zooming out to give myself sanity on this. Dollar is around the same level as March 2022, various points in 2019, late 2016, and 1997. Its not really some sort of unprecedented level.
>>60551760imagine how hard we will rip upwards once they come back
no, you don't understand, we must hit ATH on mediocre to bad econ data and several companies not giving guidance
>>60551828No, it's going down long term. This was the trend before Trump and I think even before Biden.
The HIMS recovery is impressive
>>60551828The dollar is down 14% YTD to my local currency. It's fucking over
DING DING DING DING DING
How did it go today?!?!
>>60551828FX noise is not worth taking in mind
Until btc becomes world reserve currency
You do own btc right?
>>60551847+0.88%
Small beat, not nearly enough to make up for a really bad day I had yesterday.
>>60551847Today: +0.10%
This Week: +10.04%
This Month: +15.45%
This Year: -36.99%
Was mostly in cash today after selling yesterday, started buying back in slowly though
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>>60551847Pretty dern good
>>60550974Based I just bought some yesterday should have bought more
green
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>>60551847+2.07%
God Bless SOXL
>>60551847looks like a 39% kind of day
>>60551847+ 4% thanks to my gigachad hood and hims csp plays
>>60551847JOBY and HOOD carried.
>>60550898i know some FIRE people who aren't selling until it hits $5000, and they expect it to hit that sometime in 2026, so if you can wait a year, you'll be a lot richer. Plus if you don't sell the price won't go down, so it's logical to hold until you hit whtaever price you want to sell it at.
>>60551952Nvidia will hit a 121 trillion dollar market cap by next year? Are you on crack?
I am from bongland, I just 100% hedged my entire S&P Holding, the USD is bleeding so badly. Will it ever stop? Hedging currency seems like a risk off move & frankly a no shit move at this point. Any other bongs/EU fags feel the same about their longer term passives.
Feel like I should of done this a bit earlier (I did keep more assets in GBP before, but not actively hedge my S&P 500.
>>60551964Oh I forgot to add, its nearly 7 figs worth of assets, so it's some conviction. Just seems USD debasement is one of the only ways to truly deal with the deficit at this point.
>>60551952Wasn't Apple already the world's most valuable company when Warren started investing in it?
Who knows what Nvidia might do. It's a money printer that's siphoning massive cash flows from all other tech companies, which themselves are also money printers.
Good business, high margins, big moat, it's got the package. You can argue it's overvalued but it's not a bad business.
>>60551962AI is the future. And they're going to need to print a lot more money to keep people going after all the layoffs that AI is going to make happen. Yes, 121 trillion dollars is not so unbelievable, and its the only way to beat inflation: you own a stake in the company that will be making it happen. It's the smart move. You have to stop thinking in terms of "value" and start understanding that the future doesn't need your downer doomsday shit
>>60551973I will personally donate every cent I own to the IDF and then light myself on fire if Nvidia has a 121 trillion dollar market cap any time in 2026
>>60551964The Vanguard Lifestrategy ETFs offered in the European market are EUR hedged - for example V80A.
But I think their holdings are a lot more complicated than the American versions.
It's a little weird that their worldwide ETFs offered to Europeans (e.g. VWCE) are in USD. If it's worldwide and sold to Europoors why make it USD?
>>60551952thats such a cringe ngmi term
>>60551980I wouldn't make that bet without accounting for inflation.
Some doomposting: the Baltic Dry Capesize Index has fallen off the 7-year seasonal range.
It previously crashed & burned in late May / early June 2008 and some people think it's a herald of doom.
But it has crashed & burned many other times in the past with no GFC 2.0
>>60551981Certainly I'm in GBP. I did some research into hedging long term, its not generally advised but it seems this *advice* is based on the period 2008 until now. Well from then until now the USD never truely shat itself, not even during the 2018 trade wars.
Nothing ever happens to stocks, but things do happen to currencies bro. I feel like USA fags underestimate the risk on europoors and bonglands being exposed to FX carries. I mean, why should they understand, that are lucky in USD!
>>60551971>Wasn't Apple already the world's most valuable company when Warren started investing in it?Yeah but apple makes products that people own. Nvidia designs stuff that does what people do, its value is waaaaaaaay higher than just hipster fashion items. Its literally the new workforce.
Basically what I understand is that right now, nvidia stock is super cheap compared to where it will be in the future, and the plan is to buy as much as you can noow and in the immediate future, and then hold onto it and only sell it when you want some extra cash, as AI matures it will replace everyone, we'll all be on UBI, and when I want more stuff I'll just sell some of my nvda stock in little bits for insane values and I'll be able to afford whatever i want when i want it in the future. I figure a 5 to 10 year hold before i start doing that, so until then i'm just working and putting a little bit of every paycheck in more nvda.
this is such obvious accumulation, just look at the rsi and macd
>>60551980>if Nvidia has a 121 trillion dollar market cap any time in 2026I think by 2030 it's definitiely possible. It's not going to stop growing because AI will always be needed
>>60552002>I wouldn't make that bet without accounting for inflation.THIS guy gets it. inflation never goes down, and we'll need more money so people can afford CPI, it's just basic math
>>60552012given how most of us live a Favela-tier quality of life I don't feel particularly blessed.
>>60552016Same demographics of brazil now too.
>>60551952>NVDA will 35x in value by next yearredditors are retards
>>60550898Could take a bit off, there's going to be the big sell off later in the year that might affect it
I hold Rolls Royce and sold 10% but deep down I wish I didn't since it just kept rising (had a quick look and it's up 80% since I originally bought, I should probably cash in desu)
>>60550888 (OP)AHEM!
Why are the stocks at all time highs? What news is pumping the market?
>>60552072Stock market will exist after Trump leaves office
>>60552072Ironically, a lack of news is pumping the market
>>60551723fat ugly bastard
>>60551852>>60551878the stock market is a mechanism for transferring 0.46% from anon to anon
INMB bros I don't feels so good, at least there is a date on when they will release Phase 2 data
>>60551964Passive is all vanguard indexes, mostly euroshit and emerging markets. US stocks are great for daytrading but too overvalued
>>60552072nvda
also muln is at an all time low might be a good dip buy
>>60552012The USA has never experienced a close call in it's entire history and it shows
>>60552098Of what use is day trading if I am talking about passives anon? Vanguard is not the only provider in the world, there is passive indexs for nearly everything, hedged and unhedged for UK investors.
>>60552102what is that shit and why should I buy it
so it can do another split to prop itself up into another pump and dump?
Gdp comes out July 30th
Buy. Calls.
>>60552122Biden admin already changed the definition of a recession so two consecutive quarters of negative GDP are not automatically a recession unless a panel of "experts" says so.
Will Trump allow a recession under his watch?
Will the market care?
>>60552128The print will come bigly
>>60552109that's just what I use for passive as a bong, I don't think all the ones on my vanguard are vanguard indexes, it's pretty much just randomly allocated into all of them
>>60552128>recession>prices did not come downWasn't a recession. Recession= deflation.
>>60552140Oh I see they are allocating for you, I do not know what level of hedging exists their. However EU/UK investors are getting raped by the USD decline. More to come most likely, retail investors who self-select and dont' hedge are going to get fucked without even understanding why most likely over the coming years.
>>60552173>However EU/UK investors are getting raped by the USD declinehow so?
>>60552204What do u mean how so? Because USD is declining...
>>60551724>i have a feeling the money printers are printing trillions without announcing italways have been
>>60552077I've never gotten the answer why is this beautiful women at a glory hole
>>60552215huh? if i owned for example like 0.5% of rolls royce, how is a declining dollar impacting my investment if the company continues to experience increased buy over sell pressure? for that matter, how are NVDA holdings being impacted by this beyond the dollar valuation being inflated artificially?
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can someone tell me why nike has jumped 10% on what doesn't seem like that good news
i've made like a grand off this
>>60551724Recession is literally impossible at this point. The import frenzy in q1 absorbed all the costs so q2 will be like +5% to gdp
>ATH in the futures
>CHINA DEAL
>It's the Geneva thing
>>60552283>The import frenzy in q1 absorbed all the costs so q2 will be like +5% to gdpyep
>>60551765>>60551787look at his hubris, time and time again the same story plays out with the same ending
>tfw sold my niggervideo at 145 because I thought it would retrace back to 125
I am very gay and also retarded
>>60552288>White House official says an understanding reached with China this week is about how to implement expediting rare earths shipments to the U.S. again
>>60552296Put your money where your mouth is and load up on puts then buddy.
My past 3 days on go forex demo trading. There's no brokerage fees. I got lucky, didn't I /smg/? I feel like if I put any real money in, I'm gonna death spiral
>>60552344yes. demo is without fear, it's easy
>>60552315short quantum and bought COIN LEAP puts yesterday
>>605522984T marketcap end of the next month, 14.5% of US GDP
>>60552344You won't trade the same way when it's with real money.
>>60552248If you are europoor and u own a USD valued fund, when the USD drops, your EURO conversion drops hence your fund value drops on your account.
USD is not useful if you do not live in the USA (as an investment) since you need to covert it back to euros.. Less euros for more USD = devaulation of your investment AS A EUROPOOR.
henlo mister jerome
please bake us a new bread soon
thank you mister jerome
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>>60552378>>60552378>>60552378
>>60552226it's not a real picture