three day closure edition
>Educational sites:https://www.investopedia.com/
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams:https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.koyfin.com/
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners:https://finviz.com/
https://www.tradingview.com/screener
https://etfdb.com/
>Optionshttps://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendarshttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
>Boomer Investing 101:https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
>Misc smg:https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://tradingeconomics.com/
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://wallmine.com/
https://fintel.io/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
Previous:
>>60581034
So, what are you gents up to?
>>60584600Having some Romanian beer with sausage and sauerkraut with my dad, watching Wimbledon
Iโve never felt so Eurotrash
>>60584600taking some of my kids tubing in a bit
i do not trust this market but I will continue buying the index until i have enough to buy rental property in the neighborhood
I told you to buy yuro def, you didn't listen
>>60584596 (OP)By far the most worst and most effective strategy the monopolies could do right now is give away their food for free to immigrant households. Getting all their kids hooked on tasty treats will create a generational sales foundation that is immensely difficult to break, but will also partially disrupt the multicultural food restaurant industries.
SLFP
md5: 2663b4e3481cc481d89c4d99eb42f093
๐
Posting again because no reponse last time
Securities lending program: broker keeps contacting me via my account asking if I want to loan out my stock at 69% per month. What's the deal, is this worth it? I have CRWV in several accounts so its looking some fun money can be made, I might consider buying more shares to participate on the monthly gains.
>>60584701Sounds like a scam, they don't just hand out 69% gains for nothing
For a long time I thought "Jane Street" is a euphemism, like people say "Main Street" vs Wall Street
I didn't realize it was an actual company
>>60584600Playing DnD right now.
>>60584707>Sounds like a scam, they don't just hand out 69% gains for nothingThe program is legit as far as I can tell. The pic is from the web application from inside my account. I have been checking into it more and see other brokers do it also, but the examples I saw online offered low interest. Because of the volatility of this stock (its a recent IPO) I can make 500 to about 1000 per week selling options on the same stock, or even swing trading the same stock. I am not arguing for it, just checking to see how many have tried it and were offered that high of a rate.
>>60584707>they don't just hand out 69% gains for nothingalso, if I understand the pic I posted, that 69% is per month, not annual.
>>60584721So they give a very high rate because it's difficult to find stocks to short?
Would you be able to take it back and sell or are you locked from touching it for a month?
Keep in mind there's an issue with dividends on loaned stocks, the broker will typically give you the equivalent of the dividend but it's taxed as regular income (it's not a dividend) and can cause issues.
>>60584701I know there are brokerages that lend out your shares to shorters. But I thought they only gave like a 2% interest.. Europoor here
>>60584746Info from Broker says I can sell stock any time, no restriction (I cannot sell covered calls when the stock is loaned to them). Apparently this particular stock is hard to borrow to short, its a new company. They create a separate account for me, put the stock in that account and put an equivalent $ amount in my account as a place holder, I would still get dividends (CRWV is too new so it does not pay one). The stock is being loaned by broker to short the stock - I don't care about the stock or the company I just want to make the most money off of it. I just never heard of this before. Can I get a list of the most wanted stocks to short? Maybe I buy some of those and loan them out while the interest rate is so high.
>>60584751>I thought they only gave like a 2% interestThat is what I thought, and from the examples I found on the web the people said the interest rate sucked, that is why I am surprised it is so high on the info the broker provided to me. This would be in a non-taxable account so it simplifies the taxes (none) and remves the PIL (payment in liue of) payments for dividends (tax issues) which can be an issue in taxable account.
>>60584746Crwv has insane borrow rates because its overvalued AF and everybody wants to short it.
Lending shares is basically paying for the bullets of your would be assassin. Of course you can hedge by buying puts and covered calls.
Trump the clown is taking tariffs with markets at ATH, itโs time for puts for this week anon
>>60584770>tarrifsMeme factor, we front running the qe, get in or get left behind
>>60584596 (OP)How is Tesla not fucked this time? Without their gibs and with falling sales they have NOTHING.
>>60584600Bought a new PC, playing Elden Ring rn
>>60584600I got a wisdom tooth out, it's a bitch.
>>60584770tariffs go into effect on August 1st. the party can go on for another month i reckon
>>60584770Do you think that's his next issue to focus on?
He tends to focus on things one at a time, and now that Iran is bombed and the bill passed he must have something else in his sights.
>>60584600Watching nerd shit about central bank lending whilst enslaving the Reach in EU4
>>60584600Visiting my in-laws. How to not be a dick when someone asks what I want to do? The answer is that I want to go home.
>>60584792Unironically, DCA'ing TSLA shorts is a decent near-term strategy
Could probably be hedged with AI stock hopium longs
henlo mister jerome
did you enjoy the fireworks
i hope you still have all your fingers
please lower the rates
thank you mister jerome
>>60584768>Of course you can hedge by buying puts and covered calls.If I loan the stock broker info says I can not sell covered calls on it, but I did not see where its says I can not sell short or puts. I will call my rep Monday to find out more.
I desperately need to double my portfolio in a few weeks. what should I buy /smg/?
>>60584895Buy 1 spin on red.
>>60584895GRRR and hope it was Nvidya
>>60584636>somehow many do you have
>>60585001They recently sold 6 million shares to someone for 100 million USD, and Reddit sleuths reckon from LinkedIn posts the CEO was at Nvidia HQ beforehand, and that some of that viddy angel dust will make it moon
Best defense and/or aerospace ETF for those easy NATO 5% spending gains?
should i add some BYD, Alibaba or Tencent to my portfolio or should i just take the Zeihanpill?
Are you ready to see unemployment continue to climb as the higher-ups dismiss it as a side effect of AI and technological progress?
Will stonks buy that?
>>60584814It's deportation time
OPEC bumped up their production ceiling by a decent chunk this month. I guess their feeling bullish.
>>60585028BYD will make the robot armies. Xiaomi if you want to be snarky.
>>60585043Opec does a lot of politically motivated stuff, it might be from that secret meeting trump had with the me
>>60585028I'd say byd, my mom just cruised around Asia and said they are everywhere
The slop makes a compelling point
>>60585098For our American friends, VWCE is the Vanguard global ETF (including US)
and AVWS is the Avantis small cap value ETF (like AVUV but global including US).
>>60585043>>60585095How does that work? Does OPEC have stores of oil that motivates them to keep production low and prices high? Or is it mostly production to selling immediately? Because more production seems like more money
>>60585113it's complicated but opec largely sells what they make and they sell at a rate that maximizes the benefit to the members and the stability of the market. It exists to prevent a self destructive race to the bottom and provides a stable block of producers for the consumer nations.
>>60585113OPEC has spare capacity to pump and they intentionally keep it lower than the maximum to attempt to drive prices up.
But not all OPEC members abide by those rules, and there is a lot of non-OPEC capacity that cannot be stopped by the cartel, so its influence over oil prices has dramatically diminished in recent years.
It can get complicated, for example Kazakhstan is an OPEC member but its oil is pumped by international companies (I think Chevron and Exxon) so it cannot stop them.
ex-US vs SPY
is it different this time or is America going to continue winning?
>>60585150For historical context on the US vs the rest of the world
>>60585150Most of the outperformance of American is valuations and currency appreciation
>>60585160It's true, it's mostly due to an increase in P/E ratios (what Jack Bogle called "speculative return").
everyone still have their 10 fingers?
>>60585098>>60585102If SCHD/SCHY didn't exist I'd be in AVGV or AVGE
>>60585173They launched a European version a few months ago and I missed it, I'm thinking of incorporating it into my portfolio now that it exists.
It looks good but reading about it, it seems you must for sure hold and never sell because its overperformance comes in very short bursts.
A RARE 25% SUB QUARTER S&P ADVANCE
The S&P finished the 4th of July week at 6279.35 and is now up 6.76% for 2025 and 13.4% over the last 12 rolling months (July4-July4), currently residing at an All Time High for at least the three day weekend.
You may recall that the S&P experienced an 18.9% selloff from the Feb 19th Close of 6144.15 to the April 8th Close of 4982.77, exceeding 20% if measured vs the April 8th intraday Low of 4910.42.
From that 4982.77 Closing Low on April 8th, the S&P has now advanced 26.0%, doing so in less than a Quarter, 86 calendar day (April8-July3) to be precise.
Looking back through post 1950 history, I can only find five prior occasions in which the S&P has advanced 25% in less than a Quarter and none of those five occasions were anywhere near an impending top.
Certainly, one would prefer to have more than five data points from which to draw conclusions upon which to base one's market exposure but the magnitude and uniformity of the advances across the following 12 months in those five cases appears worthy of our respect.
All five cases were positive over the following 1 to 12 months, up at least 19.2% one year later, 31.7% on average.
None of the five cases experienced a 4% drawdown as measured from the signal Date.
>>60584600Just booked hotels for a road trip to Colorado for a company conference. Thought about flying but realized the company reimbursement rate for mileage means that Iโll profit off driving.
Unfortunately I had to book a shitty motel in a small town to save money, hopefully a roach doesnโt crawl in my ear.
Also just realized there is absolutely no restaurants nearby the hotel except chain slop; guess I am gonna have to break my NY resolution of not eating sneed oil.
>>60585102I hate both of them
Total world funds are too diverse, kills any gains while still carrying equity risk
Small cap fund less bad but its buying a whole class of risky assets which means you are taking all the losers
>>60585187The fact that a >4% drawdown is โunprecedentedโ means itโs def gonna happen now.
Well fuck.
>>60585198never been to CO. how is it?
>>60585205It's not so bad, last 5 years VWCE is up 80% while VUAA is up 110%
It definitely underperformed the US-only but who knows if the US will continue overperforming vs the rest of the world. Besides, VWCE is still like 60-70% US.
>>60585218Denver (where conference is) absolutely sucks ass.
But everywhere BUT Denver is really nice. Went and hiked around Golden last year, felt like I was in heaven, or some picturesque Star Wars planet.
>>60585222You can get decent normie food in Denver. For me, it's the cheesecake factory. And +1 to getting out of denver and driving around, it's really nice up there.
>>60585222checked. what makes Denver so shitty? do people open carry in CO? I heard it used to be red back in the day but super liberal now which sucks. I want to move out of CA>
>>60585226Yea last time I went to a street fair and got some HECKIN TACOS from a sketchy looking van; they were pretty good. Also got some fresh fruit from some lesbians and stepped over a homeless dude on the sidewalk; quintessential Denver experience. But I was with a good friend of mine so it was all good.
>>60585229The โBoulder mafiaโ (rich libs in Boulder that run the political scene) have taken over state politics over the past 20 years.
If youโre chuddy like me then Grand Junction on the western side is still nice. Nowhere in CO is affordable but I guess itโs all your perspective; coming from CA youโre used to it. Me living in Louisiana, I think the prices are insane.
>>60585098looks like they're both underperforming garbage
>the retarded faggot who keeps posting this picture of his gay sex doll
When is the market crashing Bobo? When is the market crashing already? What 2 more weeks?! You said that 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that and 2 weeks before that...
I'm starting to think you are fake, gay, and retarded Bobo. Mumu has all at the money.
Full port into LNTH earnings to make back the losses. Talk me back from the edge friends...or egg me on.
I used to have to travel to Denver for work a lot. It's fine. There's some fun stuff to do if you have time. There's a decent air museum in Lowry. The zoo is alright too. You can tour the Coors brewery (NYSE: $TAP, down 13.8% YTD) and get samples. If you have half a day to kill, you can drive up to Rocky Mountain National Park and drive the road that goes over the the top of the mountains. There's some really good views. The visitor center at the top is pretty decent too, and I saw this cool guy last time I was up there.
>>60585287Oh man, all that stuff that sounds like it might temporarily bring joy and be great picture opportunities to post on instagram. I bet someone will like it and see how cool that is! Awesome anon.
>>60585287weird lookin rodent.
business idea: stock market but its open 24/7
>>60585337Do what robinhood is doing. 24/5 stock trading and then one up them by 24/7. way cheaper than opening up a stock exchange
>>60585337Why not just trade crypto at that point?
>>60585305I guess you're mocking me? Meh, whatever, when you have to fly across the country for a 3 hour meeting, if you want to mope around in your hotel room, go for it. I'd rather try to see or do something. Fwiw, I don't have an instagram
>>60585316Pretty sure it's a marmot. You can also see a lot of elk in RMNP
>>60585356>if you want to mope around in your hotel roomIt's not that, let's just be real if a grown man or woman posted about doing all this stuff alone by themselves it kind of feels pathetic. What's important is you enjoyed yourself but the post just reads like the same old generic millenial slop people like to post as if it's special or somehow makes life special.
>>60585377I didn't do it alone. I went with my coworkers because we had time to kill. We had to fly out to Denver a few times a year for a while.
>>60585344How does Robinhood do 24/5?
OTC trades internally in its platform between users?
>>60585380Alright Anon, a coworker instead of a family member or wife and kids. Can't wait until we have AI friendbots so we can replace any deeper sort of relationship in our lives. At least there are work friends!
>>60585377>posted about doing all this stuff alone by themselves it kind of feels pathetic.I used to have to travel a lot for business, I made the best of the situation and explored and learned what I could about each area. It helped in business to know about the towns I was in when in meetings.
>>60585396Awesome, you are a better person and more unique person for it in someway that isn't measurable. I'm sure no one /smg/ has traveled for work and done stuff at those places they will never live at. It's all so special isn't it and such a great learning experience. Whatever would we do without such experiences.
This guy runs the HostileCharts Twitter account.
I am not a "technical analysis" guy but I like him and he is usually correct.
https://hostilecharts.beehiiv.com/p/cautious
where do you guys read your business news i literally cannot stand CNBC and Bloomberg half the time LARPing as a political rag or a gossip blog
>>60585420I subscribed to Exec Sum and glance at it once a day
It's more than enough, if anything seems interesting I google it.
>>60585129Buy this *unzips*
>>60584710Main Street is not a euphemism. Please look up the definition of the word so you donโt sound retarded going forward.
In case you were keeping track
We're officially on day 84 of 90 of "90 deals in 90 days"
>>60585465ok anon you are right, it's a "metonym"
>>60585420Wallstreet journal
>>60584710I thought it was associated with Janes, the company that publishes military books and stuff
>>60585242fuck that's incredibly shitty to hear. I love the mountain aesthetic. I actually live in a LCOL area in CA and the local politics are more conservative than not. I'm a 5th generation Californian and driving around I feel like a foreigner. jeets, spics, nigs, etc. seems like all the white people fled 20-30 years ago.
>>60585389no. they have some company that holds custody of stocks and the robinhood users trade within that pool.they have started with few selected stocks and i think they have increased it since. maybe one day they wont need them.
This is what I voted for:
>Elon Musk
>@elonmusk
ยท
>1h
>By a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it!
>When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy.
<Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom.
>>60585494im sure those indian grifters with blue checkmarks are so excited to vote in the midterms
>>60585494Is this bullish for tsla yes or no be honest
>>60585498Also this is very funny because the replies to this tweet are full of seething repulicans who are shitting himself over trying to split the ticket
>>60585494>the US finally gets a third party with enough financial backing to matter>it's even gayer and more retarded than red team & blue team
>>60585564its basically a reboot of the libertarian party except minus the history of pedophilia
>>60585564Since it's the US it had to be somebody with a lot of money and preferably non US-born without the blue/red indoctrination
>>60585412Thanks for sharing. Iโll check it out.
Any of you fags look into SMCI yet? Every article loves em and im starting to feel some FOMO
>>60585601>the jews are screaming buy and i want to buygoodest of goyim
>>60585601not buying your bags
>>60585520bullish they will now get infinite democrat shekels
>>60585601>Every article loves em and im starting to feel some FOMOIf you really want to feel the full power of FOMO and a rugpull, try a ticker that is shifting to becoming a bitcoin treasury. I don't know where any of that money is coming from but there's a ton of it.
>>60585634>try a ticker that is shifting to becoming a bitcoin treasury.CRCL?
>>60585637That's one of them. I think they'll stay stupid profitable until crypto does another major pullback, and then they go insolvent because they cannot service the debt with crypto as collateral.
Right now it doesn't seem risky, but when crypto declines, it either totally rugpulls or makes 2008 look like a fucking joke.
>>60585564With the way election laws work in the US, 3rd parties are an uber waste of time. I wish retards and foreigners would realize this and understand that is why there will never be a relevant 3rd party in the US.
>>60585711Wait, you don't like democracy? Don't like your own medicine?
>>60585711we used to have a 3 party system, but that was hundreds of years ago unironically
We've even had "third party presidents" if you count the whigs technically, cause there was 4 of them
>>60585722Yeah but that was back when the US had more of a real economy, market, politics, and was a real country instead of the united corporations of globohomo technocratic slop.
>>605849324. Only two wanted to go. Water was kind of shallow so it wasn't that much fun. We haven't had rain in a while.
>>60585791AHH IM CHIMPING OUT
>>60585692I always think this thing is going to get shot by a 50 cal
>>60585791love these kind of webms, kek
>>60585728Countries tend to consolidate towards two party systems due to the lack of unity that having too many factions results in, at least for their respective executive branches. It's just too much infighting.
The US has a two-party system (plus libertarian) that tends to veer towards the following:
>conservativeLess diverse grouping that relies on blood and community cohesion. Their wealthy and powerful are highly consolidated in traditional industries, government, and military. Has a reputation for nationalistic populism. Largest strength and weakness is the high prioritization towards community cohesion, and will protect or cover-up their bad actors for the sake of social harmony. Very prone to being undermined by internal subversion because of this and is incredibly hard to root out once entrenched.
>liberalCollection of several diverse groups that don't actually agree with each other. Their wealthy are highly consolidated in the latest high-value labor sectors. Has a reputation for social populism. Largest strength and weakness is its demand to be ideologically congruent due to the natural disunity that comes with diversity, and is keen to excommunicate outsiders. Very prone to schisms and losing mass support despite population advantage. That tendency towards excommunication cultivates way more extremist factions.
wut
md5: 6479f1f77c9d073222acb9971db28e8d
๐
>>60585937our next elections are pretty much going to mirror modern germany
very impoverished areas hate immigrants, blame them for all their problems
while the extreme left whose sick and tired of corporate dogshit becomes a much more louder voice
already seeing this in New York City, america's literal capitalist utopia swing super left despite the other candidate in the primary being a literal jew shill backed by billionares and ironically, republicans
>>60585937I think you're over-estimating the cohesion conservatives have. When you get right down to it, republicans and democrats are both more like the coalitions they have in Europe, though much more informal. Republicans for example contain libertarians, northeastern businessmen, Christian Conservatives, both war-hawks and isolationists, and recently a very specific type of silicon valley moguls. While there might be some overlap between these groups, most of their agendas are unrelated to each other or even contradictory, and they're only really united by an opposition to the agendas of the democrat blocs. Most of the focus on social cohesion that you see is really nothing more than a way of appeasing the groups who demand it, while the ones who don't particularly care for it (libertarians especially) get ignored. If any of these groups ascend into greater political importance, than you would see a greater focus on their agendas at the expense of others, and the others will either take it, try to seize the reigns again, or switch sides to see if they can get a better deal.
>>60586092pretty much nailed it
"Technocrats" are basically conservative snakes who will suck up and jerk off whomever is in power
>>60586092>I think you're over-estimating the cohesion conservatives have.It's a generalization, in comparison to the liberal baseline. I should've clarified that.
>>60585601Not buying your bags my jeet $BULL posting is more organic, $BULL going to 16
HOLY SHIT
SHORT TESLA
PIC REL
>Tesla could lose billions in revenue as Trump administration weighs eliminating a key regulatory credit loophole
https://fortune.com/2025/06/10/tesla-revenue-regulatory-credits-senate-republican-budget-bill/
>>60586174>oh no shit we already knew and definitely isnt priced in alreadywhy are retail investors so retarded
>>60586180>she thinks everyone knows this>she thinks the effect is knownlol
>>60586092dont forget the GOP coalition is held together by debt spending to pay for each faction's core economic interests. at least the Democrats could in theory deal with the debt through their love of taxation. The Repubs neither want to cut spending nor raise taxes
>>60586179I wonder how automakers will make cars now that they have no meaningful mpg requirement. Hopefully they don't repeat another round of mediocre gas chuggers and then get btfo by another oil shock.
>>60586207>at least the Democrats could in theory deal with the debthahahahaahahahahha
No one is going to do anything but spend more money. The scam is there is only one party with two faces. One fucks you from the side, the other fucks you from the other side. Free your mind and see the world as it really is.
>>60586211They will absolutely make mediocre gas chuggers. They already do. They won't get btfo by another oil shock. Consumers will. Automakers are banking on an oil shock. It forces consumers to buy more cars.
>>60586211more shitty unreliable garbage for 49,999.99 plus tax plus tip, even from japs
>>60586224>Automakers are banking on an oil shock. It forces consumers to buy more cars.American automakers went all-in on trucks and SUVs again, and literally have damn near no fallbacks on smaller cars anymore. They've ceded the market to the Koreans and Japanese. Oil shocks won't benefit them, and the EV supply chain makes hybrid cars in short supply.
>>60586234>more shitty unreliable garbage for 49,999.99 plus tax plus tip, even from japsAutomakers have definitely lost their way. Their latest corporate spin on new cars is that engineering no longer matters, but user experience and AI.
It's shiny scrap.
>>60584600Applying for a job at a nasdaq 100 Corp
I've had it with these amateurs
>>60586246>have damn near no fallbacks on smaller carsNot true. Only when looking at models in the US is this true. Globally American manufacturers and their subsideries have plenty of fuel efficient models that can be imported/made in the US. They also have designs from the past that could be redesigned for today. American car companies sell gas guzzling trash in the US because they can. Not because it's all they have.
Am I insane for thinking about purchasing LEAPs on GameStop because of their pivot towards becoming a bitcoin treasury company could catalyze if the Fed really does cut rates at the end of this year? MicroStrategy clearly benefits being able to have more investors willing to purchase convertible bonds, thus GameStop would benefit as well. I feel like companies emulating MicroStrategy are going to inevitably create a bubble. Their financial engineering is tantamount to getting leveraged returns on BitCoin appreciation. Imagine how that goes during a period of insane greed.
>>60586276>Globally American manufacturers and their subsideries have plenty of fuel efficient models that can be imported/made in the US.And Americans generally hate global cars. They also take time to federalize. America/Canada is probably the largest Galapagos market in the world where it's worth making cars specifically for them, instead of telling the rest of the world to live with what they've got.
I do remember the 2008-2014 penalty boxes that got brought over from overseas. They're largely no longer on the road anymore.
Anyone remember that one time Anon on /smg/ got access to a Bloomberg Terminal and started rassin' a bunch of wall street rats?
>>60586299Doesn't matter what Americans hate. They will buy what they are sold / can afford. Americans are consumer cattle. They have no choice in the matter. Whatever is on a car lot is what they will buy. They can cry all they want. At the end of the day Americans will buy what they are sold.
>>60586311Yes I remember he sent a message to Tony Dwyer asking about price targets, then later that day on CNBC Tony said something about having pricing targets
$BULL -Breakdown: What the $1B Equity Agreement Really Means.(Not dilution. Not a dump. Read this.)
What Happened?
Webull signed a $1B Standby Equity Purchase Agreement (SEPA) with Yorkville Advisors.
This allows (not requires) them to raise capital as needed by selling shares over time.
Why This Matters?
This is not a dilutive ATM or emergency raise. Itโs a strategic growth weapon institutions buy shares directly, only when Webull chooses.
Key Facts:
โ Float: 459M
โ Agreement = ~17% of float (if fully used over time)
โ No impact unless activated
โ SEPA = institutional vote of confidence
Why It Pulled Back
Retail misreading the filing. Traders dumped assuming instant dilution โ wrong.
Smart $ understands this is flexible capital, not a cash grab.
Smart Take:
This deal means Webull has institutional backing to fund product expansion and market share.
Price action now is just short-term supply fighting long-term strength.
https://u1sweb.webullfinance.com/us/office/invest-rel/0cac09a238074f62bb7c302dca8f5629/7.3%20-%20Webull%20Announces%20%241%20Billion%20Standby%20Equity%20Agreement.pdf
>>60586318Yes! But it turned out Dwyer was a faggot. He also DM'd the JP Morgan CFO and turns out he was a pretty cool guy
>2019-2025 was full of volatility for traders
>free stimmies and handouts for everyone
>easy job market in 2019-2024
>clown job market in 2020-2021 where you can remote work 2 jobs, get massive tips doing grunt work, etcetc
>easy borrowing from 2020-Mar2022 where you could refi, margin, or borrow at near 0% rates
>boomers dying/retiring which meant folks finally got to move up the work ladder
>worker shortage meant quitting was a free wage increase
>massive upside in ALL assets: stocks/indexes/international, corpbonds/TIPS/cash, gold/silver/pms, crypto/bitcoin, ipos/spacs/icos, RE/reits/land/mbs, commodities/energy/utes, etcetcetcetc
It was a once in an opportunity to go big, make big moves, and change your life.
You guys "made it" right?
Or at least made the best of it right?
>>60586322how much money is there really in scamming people that have already blown up robinhood and coinbase accounts? who uses webull?
>>60586406You first anon. Post brokerage account with the chart zoomed all the way out
anyone else avoid telling normalfags friends and family that youโre into stocks? I just hate always being asked โhow have the stocks been?โ
>>60586424I rarely talk to my family anymore and I don't have any friends
>>60586424>anyone else avoid telling normalfags friends and family that youโre into stocks?I just tell them that I just DCA into dividend stocks because I have no risk tolerance. That ends the discussion pretty quickly.
>>60586424no i like talking about things i like
>>60586424pretty much, i only told my parents when they saw me looking at charts and news too often, and even then i told them to keep it quiet (i handle their stocks now)
How do stocks have any value? It's just a fucking piece of online paper. If a company gave out dividend then maybe I could understand. A lot don't though... I've seen the argument that the company could always be bought out, but a lot of companies are already too big to be bought... So why tf does number keep going up knowing you don't keep any of the profits nor will the company ever be bought out..
>>60586409I use webull and people who blew up their accounts are fucking stupid because they ignored me talking about palantir at 15 but want to cry because they blew up their portfolio on Roblox stock and day trading during earnings meanwhile you could of just held NVDA or autozone and been up massively.
>>60586494look out boys we got a genius over here
>>60586322Not buying your bag jeet
>>60586500People love memes, but they're deliberately ignoring how often memes destroy people.
>palantirData sorting and aggregation is one of the big problems to solve as the categorization, quantity, and quality of information increases and/or widens in scope. Big money for people who can figure it out, because it lets you understand the present and forecast the future with disturbing accuracy.
>autozoneCars. Enough said.
>nvidiaMarket leader. Probably will remain dominant for a while.
>>60586420Sure I'll go first.
>around ~$250K in TDA stock portfolio in end of 2019 and ~$100K in cash for downpayment on home. >Probably doubled that to around $700K range by early 2021 when I switched to IBKR to use those low 3-4% margin rates>nearly $1M mark by end of 2021>got BTFO in 2022 & 2023 but kept buying the dips.>Portfolio peak was at Summer 2024 at around $1.2M before I took out around $300K for down payment on RE in 2024. But magically back to $1M again this year because zion don wants to pump the markets.>Missed the RE boat in 2019-2023 so mortgage rate at ~5.5% in 2024>RE value risen since 2024 >luckily borrowed money with business during pandemic at <4%>biz inventory is PM related and PM has sky rocketed>didn't need to jump job since I'm the boss. Had to work a lot of OT during 2020-2023 since workers had so much power in the job market.I don't think I've "made it" but I certainly tried my best to take advantage of a pretty chaotic few years. Could I have done better? Maybe gotten into crypto, made less bad investments here or there, or been more aggressive in borrowing or whatever? Sure but overall I think I did good. Not great. Not excellent. C+/B- grade probably.
For those that didn't invest, then I'd understand why they think it's a clown world that is going to shit because there was a pandemic, then war, then a lot of inflation, full of scam coins/spacs/longtermUStreasuries/fiat, very little stability, then rising debt costs, and lots of events coming out of left field.
>>60586424I don't tell people I'm "into" things when I have nothing to show for it
It'd be like telling people you're an artist when all you can do is draw ellipses
ive been absent so sorry if this was asked already:
Yields are going to go nuclear right? they spiked just on the speculation of the BBB passing. now that its real something will happen right? Did the SALT deduction get striked out? I know that was a big hiccup for deficit hawks.
>>60586424i avoid it because I havent beaten the indexes in my career and worse yet have not made any money
>>60586585>>First step: Have $350,000 lying around.Noted.
>>60586322Was checking with chatgpt the other day, the warrants that pegged the price to $10 are done. Hence why BULL is finally able to rise. Considering shitcoin-trader is a future profession, BULL will sell the shovels. See you at 8b valuation soon.
>>60586599>First step: Have $350,000 lying around.>Noted.You have to start somewhere. I made some decent money off the stock tips here. I still did my own research but the tips gave me ideas I would not have found on my own. When some of the stocks are in the $2-4 range and you hold for a few years you can make some good money. Look at RKLB, ASTS, RGTI, there are many that were cheap and did a 10x in a relatively short time. So that $5k spread across a couple different stocks can become $40k pretty quick. And, if you keep adding each month it really begins to grow. I wish I started a long time ago.
Weekend-Tesla futures are red (-2%)
kek, they'll do weekend-futures for everything
>>60586599I worked for that money?
Also that 100K was for a down payment on a home which I couldn't buy and ended up paying like way over what I would have if I had just bought in 2019.
Also it's not like my investments all go up. 2020 I worked when others were just getting free stimmies, unemployment checks, school lunches, etcetc. 2021 I kept putting paychecks into the market. 2022/2023 I worked like mad since I needed more cash to buy the dip. 2024 was another up year but that didn't stop me from adding what I could.
But sure just
>make a passive jab rather than answering the original question
i need the market to crash thank you
>>60586755But didn't Trump just make the rich when richer which means more stocks will be boughs
>>60586777can you try again in english?
>>60586801absolute legend. shouldve name dropped smg
>>60586801This has the same air of asking the woman to eat all the eggs.
Top 10 /smg/ moments for sure.
>>60586816what is the actual story? how did /ourguy/ do it? the average smgger isnt allowed with 500ft of a school, much less a bloomberg terminal.
This might seem odd but let me give you a perspective from a poor country:
1) We had a stock market bubble in the last 25 years and it never recovered to those levels again
2) Our government bonds had a haircut (bankruptcy) in the last 20 years
3) Local banks offer investment products to normies with insane fees and almost zero real returns
4) Local banks do not offer access to normal ETFs and other index funds. People don't even know what they are.
The result is that most people's investment is real estate not stocks or bonds. It's an overcrowded trade so buying a home is absolutely not worth it from a purely financial point of view. Maybe that's why nobody is having kids.
>>60586777b-but p-priced in?
What do you guys do to track your portfolio across different brokers?
I tried Exirio and it's okay but I'd like to see a chart of contributions vs total
>>60586040>while the extreme left whose sick and tired of corporate dogshit becomes a much more louder voicealready seeing this in New York City, america's literal capitalist utopia swing super left despite the other candidate in the primary being a literal jew shill backed by billionares and ironically, republicans
What are you smoking? New York hasn't been capitalist for a long time and lefties aren't anti corporations anymore. It's all fake gay shit with them while they ass kiss for corporations like the covid vaccine
>>60586223This.
It blows my mind that the retards haven't realized both parties are fucking one party. The corpos always win no matter who is in charge, the military industrial complex always marches forward, and the secret intelligence communities do whatever they want regardless of who is in charge and cover it up.
>>60586910google sheets spreadsheet
>>60586954>>60586968But how would that track current values? Do you manually update it every quarter for example?
>Global investors are heading into U.S. President Donald Trump's Wednesday deadline for trade tariffs palpably unexcited and prepared for a range of benign scenarios that they believe are already priced in.
Reuters is chuddha pilled + TACOd
>>60586969Yes, although that sounds like something AI could do.
>>60586976Not AI, but API access for machine-to-machine updates. Usually not free, so there needs to be a good/profitable reason to do so.
>>60586969ticker valuations are updated automatically
your position has to be manually changed
>>60586796Rich richer, more stock will be boughted.
>>60586406I'm a zoomie so I'm left holding the bags.
>>60586974are investors finally realising that NEH?
Is volatility finally over?
>>60586406I feel like I missed a lot of opportunities the last few years. Donโt get me wrong, I made some good buys way back and have a tax-sheltered portfolio which grew from an initial ยฃ10k investment to ยฃ370k ($500k to you Americlaps) over the last 15 years without any other payments in (several withdrawals in fact), but I spent the last several years being busy with young kids and missed a boatload of obvious opportunities. Had another ยฃ300k in cash from the sale of a family property just sitting in a basic savings account being eroded by inflation for the last 3 years, only just got round to badgering my relations to release the funds, which they dragged their feet about until after the markets had already bounced back from liberation day. I feel many regrets because although Iโm not exactly poor, I feel like I could be sitting on a portfolio five times the size if Iโd started paying a bit more attention to it a couple of years ago.
>>60586893RE is just insanely overvalued given average local salaries, future credit conditions and future demographics
it's a generational top
>>60586234>doesn't know about /ourcar/ HR-VNGMI
>>60586211They can finally make fast cars again for one
>>60587027I canโt see how there can be that much prospect for growth in residential property with prices at the height of unafforbility, yields are shit, costs are high, itโs horribly illiquid, and itโs massively politically exposed if millennials eventually manage to elect the leftists who want to wage war on property investors. I have some property, but Iโd really like to be rid of a lot of it. Tried to sell a flat in London recently, just couldnโt find a buyer at an acceptable price despite a supposed shortage of properties in the market, had to let it out again.
>>60586883There is a couple free ones hidden in libraries
>>60587058there is basically 0 buying pressure in the housing market
It's in the slowing down part of a roller coaster incline
>>60587058The thing about property is if it goes to 0 you still have a house, and if its one you like it almost doesn't matter the price
If the left goes after property its most likely war imo. It would have to be a very, very slow process to avoid it
>>60587070political pressure can force massive increases in property taxes and in extreme cases, land seizures
>>60587075Yes and at least in the usa that would massively destabilizing, its something crazy like 70% of every person's money in their house
>>60587081something is going to have to be done to deal with speculation in the housing market one way or another, for people who treat their house as a home and not an asset in a portfolio should be fine, in fact it's even better for them for their house value to go down as they will pay less in property taxes, most people are fine if overleveraged RE speculators lose money
>>60587091I think you are misdiagnosing the problem. Speculation is not driving the value up, its not like 08 with ninja loans. It's a dollar problem which is why you see cars and gold going up too. There might be some locals like LA where it is actually a real estate problem but its not for the majority
>>60587104In urban centers housing went up far more than equities and gold, so something is happening besides currency devaluation and lower borrowing rates
I have to stop spending hundreds of dollars per week on knives. I picked up an unhealthy obsession.
I mean For Fucks Sake I just used a knife to put loctite on another knife...
I need to buy more stocks Monday.
>>60587135Add some ligmide
>>60586755nothing ever happens
>>60586646the market should ideally never close
>>60587157Who the hell is Steve Jobs?
>>60586593Bond yields yes
fedfund rates no
does that answer your question?
>>60585287Bobr
>>60585823You watched too many Syria vids
>>60586494equities are a piece of a company, it's that simple
companies have IP, a brand, revenue,...
>>60585390Nice, just one question: what the fuck are you talking about bro
>>60586593Salt is in and idk what you mean specifically by yields but the fed will be easing soon tho I anticipate it reigniting inflation pretty quick
>>60586424I work in IT and they're also into this stuff
>>60586424I tell no one.
You can't win with this stuff.
The Shit&Piss 500 in EUR is down 6% YTD compared to up 7% in USD.
>>60586406volatility is over, man I miss it
>>60586180we live in the current year boomer. everything gets priced in right as it happens. not weeks or months before but the second a happening is confirmed
>>60586198sure but have some dry powder on the side to take more risk
>>60587239Red=bad, simple as
Muh currency exchange rate is a cope, you buy almost everything in your currency except your 1 vacation
>>60586174TSLA does not follow fundamentals
it's a meme stock
>>60587260>currency exchange rate is a copeAnother /biz/ classic
jd
md5: 03578bacfb4bf8de1d25f021e721c902
๐
Talk me out of it.
Growing revenue and profit.
P/E of 7.
>>60585494>muh third party meme
>>60585466we're going to get all the deals last minute just trust me bro
>>60587312How hard will china screw over the non chinese investors?
>>60587300Are you buying a stock or a piece of paper that means nothing?
>>60585337The NYSE will do it eventually
>>60587357Commies always have the existential threat of violating property rights but the Taiwan situation might be the trigger
I had like 200$ in Gazprom that I lost when Russia invaded Ukraine
>>60587300Always a good sign when the risk premium on a tech stock is so high that it's p/e equals those most commonly found in industrials and petrochem
>>60586974>prices sky high>implying anything at all is priced infunny are these "investors"
0x0
md5: 66827abe127f23471a0c2bd2ca05f4b4
๐
He looks like a nice guy.
I wonder what he was like as a boss.
>>60585262mumus always win
>>60587264Hence the news of Tesla losing billions will likely effect its stock price as paperhanded hodlers bail.
>>60587413remember when TSLA sales collapsed in europoorland and the stock mooned on the news?
>>60587264Aren't meme stocks supposed to have good returns?
Tesla joined the S&P500 in December 2020 and I haven't done the math but it looks like it has underperformed the index since then.
Seems like it's been mostly going sideways in recent years.
>>60587436>Aren't meme stocks supposed to have good returns?No, they're supposed to be shitty volatile garbage like GME and crypto shitcoins
>>60587418Remeber when Musk forayed into politics and it dumped?
>>60587442see it's a shitcoin
all based on hype train garbage nonsense
>>60587441>meme stocks are supposed to be shitty volatile garbageHence why it will dump. It has to.
>>60587444Right. Which is also why it dumps.
>>60587445>>60587450It will probably dump when gamblers find a new toy but it doesn't have to do anything
TSLA isn't being valued by its fundamentals, its being valued by pure supply and demand for the stock itself
>>60584596 (OP)My cousin wants to stop his successful law practice to become a full time trader. He's been having gains in the Chinese stock market.
He's married with children.
>He's married with children.
Then he obviously shouldn't
Be he will anyways
>>60587471It's sad to say that he is NGMI
Regardless of the day trading thing, he clearly wants out of his current life situation and that's not going to end well for anyone involved. Next time it'll be something else.
>>60587058>>60587067>>60587091this all could have been avoided if we had just listened to him. but we didn't, and now, we must pay the price for our arrogance.
Hindsight, the best play would have been longing JPM at 100 bucks in 2023.... debt spending will never stop going up and they own the NY Fed...
shit
>>60587058but you left out how people want to live in a house
>>60585024INDRA SISTEMAS.
>>60587507which is the entire goal of housing
>>60587497Pro: its the most efficient form of taxation
Con:its the most enforceable form of taxation
I'd prefer to keep the state cucked as much as possible
>>60587110Because government restricts supply
>>60587570and monetary policy encourages speculation
>>60587573the entire market is speculation
>>60587574not so much when rates are where they should be
>>60585198Just watch out for the pajeet motels. I stayed in one once and the room smelled like piss
>>60585316He's got an asshole for a face
>>60585150America is going to continue winning like it has been since its inception
>greed index at 80
Unironically fucking sell on open guys, this shit is going to tank, no bobo.
>>60587679oscilators give plent of false signals in trending markets
>>60587679but high greed means people are buying as hard as they can which then means that line go up?
>>6058767980?
feels like 30... you guys should buy...
>>60587679I don't even know why people look at the fear greed index, it is so inaccurate and unimportant
There is literally a dozen signals I would use over it
>>60587782Futures are also blood red. You tell me chief
>>60587784That is a bit better but also way down on the list
>>60587788You seem pretty confident, what's your current predictions?
>>60585037you should buy bonds
>>60587791I'm bullish in a broad sense but I'm bearish on healthcare , bonds, and oil short term
>>60585337It's called futures, smart guy
>>60585377You're right, it's better to stay at home alone and post on the internet
I didn't realize Ben Felix is 6'10
What a chad
>>60587819What about energy? I've been buying up soxl like a mother fucker
>>60586406I did! Made mid five figures trading crypto in 2020. Cashed it out and turned most into physical gold and silver. Spent the rest learning how to trade futures. Bought a house with my wife in 2021 and now I barely have to work. So yes some people actually do "make it"
>>60587793Long bonds are getting heemed internationally, gold is probably better at the moment
>>60587784futures are closed and even if they were to dip the slurp gang will v it in a couple hours
>>60586974>But chuddha, what if...
>>60587793There's no question in my mind that bonds right now are as good as it's gonna get.
If yields stabilize and slowly drop over time the bonds will do well, if yields spike and the Fed intervenes to print money, bond yields will drop fast and bonds purchased now will do exceptionally well.
But the question is can you afford to stay out of this crazy bull market?
What if you stay out for 6 months and miss another +20% or whatever?
It's nuts but I feel that everyone knows it's frothy but because it keeps going higher, it's too expensive to stay out.
>>60587881Soxl is good, with energy i would.just recommend a bit of nuance, like you probably don't want a whole sector etf because it'll have green stuff and oil. Semis are good tho
>>60587471He shouldn't quit until he's making more money trading than he makes with his practice
>>60586406Im at about 1 million usd in stocks now, but feel bad because it seems like there's no new "ground floor" stocks or ETF's to get in on anymore.
>>60585028China is enron if enron owned the government and could make you disappear.
BYD for example has over $300 billion USD in debt to suppliers with a lag time of over 250 days on their payments. (Ford would have a lag time of under 60 days with their suppliers, for example)
But none of those suppliers would dare step out of line to challenge BYD for the money theyโre owed so they will cuck and accept the โtwo more weeksโ excuse on their payments indefinitely.
Zeihan is right, but is looking at things from a western PoV and underestimating just how long the chinese can FORCE the facade to keep going.
Invest accordingly.
>>60587907I think you have to look a bit farther than the impending cut. I believe after that, sooner rather than later we will get a bad inflation print(historically there has never been just one) and you don't want to be holding bonds when that happens
>>60586406its been like 4 years and i have made so many god damn retard trades. so yes i made the best of it.
600k now. 3mil+ when powell cuts rates
>>60587924When you have 7 figures in capital you really don't need ground floor shit. If you aren't a complete retard you should already have a strategy to not have to worry about money anymore
>>605879481 million dollars put into a high interest savings account at 3.5% would make him $35k a year for doing nothing. Not bad
>>60587970>$35k a year for doing nothingthat's pretty fucking garbage. selling CSPs for like a few weeks will blow way past 35k
>>60587939>when powell cuts ratesnobody tell him
>>60587986That's why I said if you're not a fucking retard. Bare fucking minimum you can make the safest lowest yield dividend tendies
>>60584596 (OP)America has depleted their soil. Food crisis imminent. Buy Canadian fertilizer and ag-tech. -leaf
>>60587300Competitors are waaaaay bigger than these guys. China is in the mindset to let the world go to war so US doesnt have to focus on pacific-Asia issues
You're not covering your risk enough
>>60587948I'm in the US and i have a wife and 4 kids, 1M isn't that much, and I live in bumfuck Virginia before >move out of a high cost area
>>60587009It's not just about the bags and about the overall state of the world?
>Zoomie how graduated during 2019-2024 had it good. 2/10>Zoomies graduating post-2025 have it pretty tough with AI eating up all the entry level jobs. 7.5/10Moomers like me who graduated during 2008-12 had it on demon mode. 9.5/10 difficulty
Also just put more into crypto, build up credit, and if shit goes to hell then bail out the us or whatever 1st world while maxing out your cards. Being younger gives you more time/options/chances to make mistakes or comeback from them.