Thread 63843069

Say what you will about air superiority, Mossad and the IDF knocking off the police chief, and gas depots getting bombed, Iran has a metric fuckton of missiles and mobile launchers. If Israel cannot rapidly degrade this asset, Tel Aviv is going to look quite different in a few weeks.

>>63843069 (OP)
>Can Israel rapidly locate and destroy Iran's TELs?
given the level of penetration (giggity), they probably have access to the internal coordinate list curated by the iranian military

>>63843069 (OP)
>Arab chest thumping about nuking Tel Aviv or whatever
>posts a SAM

>>63843069 (OP)
Do not need mobile launchers when the entire SEA is full of disgusting little Israeli tourists. Just drug them up (they take the stuff anyway), put them in containers and ship them to Iran. Glue them to the launchers. New hostage situation means Bibi falls

>>63843268
This is Downfall level cope. Salami will counter attack in Thailand and take hostages to save our missiles! Any hour now! lmao I hope you're being paid because if not, wow

>>63843069 (OP)
Try posting a TEL next time, Mahmid.

>>63843069 (OP)
I don't think Iran really has all that many MRBMs + IRBMs. They were estimated about a year ago to have 2000ish total, they fired off 400 back in October + April of last year, they fired off about 300-400 this time, they likely lost at least a few dozen in the Israeli strikes and they probably are going to want to keep a couple of hundred in reserve. They're probably in the high hundreds for missiles they can still shoot now. The real problem for them is that their tempo of firing has really gone down as the days have gone on so I'm guessing their launchers themselves are the limiting factor now. Smaller waves = less chance for any individual missile to make it through since they can't overwhelm defenses in smaller groups nearly as well. If so, then they are in trouble because it means that Arrow 2/3 get more effective as the war draws on

>>63843340
The question is how many Arrow interceptors Israel has, do they even have high hundreds of them?

>>63843712
Probably not but you should probanly be combining Arrow, THAAD, Patriot and SM-6 since the US is confirmed to be engaging with the navy

>>63843069 (OP)
>Can Israel rapidly locate and destroy Iran's TELs?
Not fast enough given that commieblocks in Gush Dan keep getting hit.

I'm surprised that the IRGC is wasting those missiles on terror bombings instead of dumping them all on IAF bases. Not as much immediate propaganda value, but keeping Israeli planes from reaching your airspace by denying them usable places to refuel and reload feels a lot more important for stopping the bleeding and establishing some semblance military deterrence.

>>63844266
Because their missiles aren't accurate enough nor are enough getting through Israeli defenses to ensure them knocking out the bases in a meaningful way.

>>63843291
Anon... The Salami...

>>63843291
>Salami will counter attack in Thailand and take hostages to save our missiles!
Dude, Salami's dead.

>>63843069 (OP)
No, the claims they have planes over tehran are retarded, the area is very mountainous, it's easy to have planes in the area, but not above, not for a prolonged time and not in telar reach

>>63843712
I don't think it's necessarily unlikely that they do, PAC-3 MSE production is in the high hundreds per year, I would guess that Arrow 2 + Arrow 3 probably add up to the high hundreds at this point since they've been procuring Arrow 3 for 8 years now and Arrow 2 for about 20 years now.

>>63843340
The real question isn't how many they have, but how many can they produce during war mode.

>>63843268
>New hostage situation means Bibi falls
Hannibal Doctrine

>>63843268
>surely the thai's will save us
Holy fucking kek

>>63849221
Substantially less than they would have been able to prior to losing air defenses

>>63851330
If there aren't hidden/undeground bunkers for these types of war time productions or even just stockpiles for emergencies, then they're toast

>>63851347
Probably underground stockpiles, less likely underground factories

>>63843069 (OP)
Given they're targeting derelict shit while Iran is still launching shit, not reliably.
That said Iran's got about 2k missiles in total and after those are out there's really nothing left to do.

It’s day 5 and Iran is already down to firing 3-5 missiles at once instead of the previous 50-100

>>63843069 (OP)
>asks about ballistic missile TELs
>pic is a SAM TELAR
????

>>63854623
>they're just hitting empty derelicts kaffir just ignore that the salvos are getting smaller and smaller

They have access to US intel assets (probably) so their only limitation is going to be range — I don’t know what the state of the IAF’s aerial refueling game is so this might be an issue, ie, can they operate tankers close enough to Iran to get a strike radius that encompasses all of Iran. Also they don’t have many tankers so they probably can’t keep them up non-stop for constant sorties. Interestingly the Iranian Air Force seems to be grounded.

>>63854623
you can describe theor entire military as derelicts
including the leadership they blew up

>>63851347
The problem with underground stockpiles being that you eventually have to take the munitions above ground at some point to fire them, also they’re lost assuredly not built with the same level of security as Fordow which means Israel might have the munitions to get them

>>63843069 (OP)
>TWO
>WEEKS