Now that Iran is threatening to close off the Strait of Hormuz:
Does Iran possess the weapons and tactics to cause some massive damage to US forces?

>>63879238 (OP)
>muh millennium challenge
Iranian AD is absolute dogshit so US jets will molest Itanian speedboats in peace.

>>63879238 (OP)
>millenium chal-
bait thread, do not reply

>>63879238 (OP)
>lightspeed bicycles
>check
it's joever USbros

>>63879238 (OP)
No but Israel does.

>>63879238 (OP)

>>63879238 (OP)
Iran could make things very inconvenient in the Strait, but honestly they probably pose less of a threat than at any point in the last 50 years.
Besides, they're not going to close the straight. 90% of the exports through the Strait of Hormuz are intended for Asia, including 1/3 of Chinese daily consumption. The regime is heavily reliant on foreign exchange it gets from selling sanctioned oil at a discount to second-rate refineries in India and China. It would hurt Iran (and China) vastly more than it would hurt the U.S.

A reminder that 99% of the Millennium Challenge gets next to zero attention, the entire missile spam event gets like a single offhand mention throughout the 700 page document detailing the wargame that basically says:
>yeah if the enemy fires 999999 missiles and all their planes at once some would probably get through
>but at that point they have nothing left to fight with and we win
Meanwhile the rest of the exercise gets no discussion, because it deals with boring stuff like inter-service intelligence sharing, battlefield logistics and BDA chains. No one really cares about that stuff, and then you see what happens when you neglect it when Russia botches their invasion without factoring in so many of the lessons the US highlights in the MC document. Early on in the Ukraine War, a report came out that Russian missile strikes were repeatedly hitting already destroyed targets because they had no solid means of assessing how effective earlier strike had been.

>>63879238 (OP)
More like the great Hurmuz turkey shoot.
once everything is convoyed its a free fire zone on everything and anything coming from the Iranian coast. while the AShMs could prove problematic I doubt they will last a sustained air campaign.

Fuck this guy.

>>63879238 (OP)
How exactly will they close the strait down? It's not the size of some tiny river, you would need a large navy to do it, and Iran doesn't have that.
Or are they just threatening to to do what the Houthis are, and just use drones and shit to target any ship?

>>63879238 (OP)
As soon as they close it China and India are going to be like "open that shit up and give us the oil"

>>63880321
Because 99% of it is the shit you get from every military exercise and isn't interesting. Imagine a video game tournament where everyone is using highly optimized and technical strategies, then one dude kills everyone else, declares himself King of the Video Games, then has a public meltdown because his tactic of simultaneously running, jumping, crouching, and reloading while on top of a specific barrel in the corner of a specific room until he clips out of bounds and the game registers all his projectiles as instakill environmental hazards and his hitbox as a decorative sprite is declared invalid by the judges. It doesn't matter of XxTotesMcGoatxX revolutionized competitive gameplay by combining a reload cancel grenade swap with a flying wall slide, the average person isn't going know what you're talking about or even pay attention when there are 40 different clips of TestiKill 9000 throwing a computer monitor at the judges and getting pepper sprayed by security before being dragged screaming "King Video Game" while soiling himself.

>>63880321
yes, because it's more fun that way, and I want to shitpost on a Mongolian throat-singing forum about some Marine retard throwing his lightspeed motorcycle green army toys out of the pram, I don't want to think about how MC predicted the rise of jihadism and the weaponisation of the post-truth world, and how we've categorically lost the infowar despite seeing it coming two decades ago

>>63879238 (OP)
>Does Iran possess the weapons and tactics to cause some massive damage to US forces?
Their naval might is without equal.

>>63880379
>Or are they just threatening to to do what the Houthis are
This, plus mines. Lots of mines. USN minesweeping has been starved for resources for decades.

Iran cannot effectively attack US assets, but they can severely harass the cargo traffic with naval mines, missiles and USVs. It's a similar situation to the Houthis except due to the width of the strait Iranians have more options available, it is likely unfeasible to fully protect the strait without boots on the ground, but Iran cannot completely shut it down either.

>>63879246
What would be the go-to weapon for this these days? Some kind of Maverick style AGM or would that be total overkill.