From a strategic and geopolitical perspective, what are the main factors preventing Georgia from reasserting control over its internationally recognized territories, particularly Abkhazia? Recent developments suggest that Abkhazia is becoming more politically distanced from Moscow, as evidenced by Russia's reduction or cessation of financial aid, humanitarian assistance, and energy support. This shift raises a critical question: if Georgia, possibly with backing from NATO or Western partners, were to initiate a reintegration effort, what would prevent Russia from intervening militarily as it did in the past? Russia's legal justification for involvement in Abkhazia is weak under international law, and the current political climate suggests that Abkhazia may not welcome renewed Russian military presence. Could this evolving dynamic present a strategic opportunity for Georgia to act decisively?
Russia's ongoing military commitments, particularly in Ukraine, could constrain its ability to respond effectively to a Georgian operation. This reality might alter the risk calculus for both sides. If Georgia were to frame such an action as a peacekeeping or stabilization mission aimed at restoring constitutional order, it might gain greater legitimacy in the eyes of the international community. However, any move in this direction would require careful coordination, clear objectives, and international diplomatic engagement to manage potential escalation and ensure regional stability.
>Muh csto
Armenia got completely ass blasted and russia did nothing tho (held the world record for the shortest war in modern history)
>>64008917 (OP)>From a strategic and geopolitical perspective, what are the main factors preventing GeorgiaRussia de facto controls current georgian government
Since you mentioned "geopolitical". might as well get the obvious out the way and mention their pro-Russian government that kills off any possibility of such an event happening.
>what are the main factors preventing Georgia
No more Nwo-jews in control, ready to sacrifice Georgia goys.
>>64008917 (OP)They have an authoritarian pro-zigger government.
>>64008956Yes, the one that imprisons protesters, makes "foreign agent" laws and uses them to imprison the opposition.
Are you that buttblasted serb that spams these pictures over and over due to zigger cum withdrawal?
>>64008959makes "foreign agent" laws
>>64008965So you spam jew jew jew when a discussion shifts towards your cum suppliers?
>>64008948>>64008956>>64008965HEY MANDICKSUCKER!! I THINK YOU'RE LOST!! THISN'T THE BBC THREAD ON GIF. GO JOIN YOUR FELLOW TURKIC RAPEBABIES OVER ON THERE XXAXAXAAAXAAAXAXAAXAXAXAXAXAXAAA!!!!!
>>64008917 (OP)because georgia can't defend itself and must appease russia
it can't form alliances because it has no strategic value
even if it had allies it's in bumfuck nowhere and only US could project power over such distances
>>64008917 (OP)The same reason Russia can hardly assert control over Ukraine: Lack of support from the local populace, lack military capability, lack of competence at all levels of leadership.
Georgia is not some based and "western but trad" state. It is a post soviet hellscape where Stalin icons are venerated in orthodox churches. It's fucked, it's over, there's no way out.
>>64008931This, only chance for Georgia is for a total russian collapse, to the point they can't pay the oligarchs currently controlling Georgia
>>64009033Ok faglord, I'll make you a bet. $10,000. In 50 years, Georgia will still be a third world shithole at the whim of Russia for its survival and a pathetic economy.
You will be dead of gay nigger aids from sharing krokodil with homeless war veterans.
And I will be right.
Russia exhausted the West into nothing, preventing it from another color revolution to provoke another proxy war
>>64009003Their issue is they bought into the peaceful protest meme. They had all the momentum right after the elections, and a loud public figure to rally behind in their president, but instead they pretty much let themselves get trampled over and any more active voices get arrested.
>>64009056That's because the FSB operated hard during and after the elections. Same thing happened in Belarus. FSB ran interference, and deflated the momentum.
>>64009002Could Azerbaijan successful annex Georgia? Seems Russia is only willing to lecture Azerbaijan and occasionally put some meaningless tariffs on them which ultimately doesn't even matter because in the end because Azeri's get their military hardware from Israel and Turkey and actually have a thriving economy, plus Russia needs Azeri pipelines to bypass sanctions levied against them, sanctions that actually have teethe and do negatively effect their economy. Also low key they tolerate Azerbaijani conquest because they fear Iran growing to strong wanted to punish for humoring the idea of Armenia to pivoting further West/N.A.T.O. even if just a little bit.
Honestly I don't think anyone would stop them.
>>64009080IIRC Azerbaijan and Georgia used to be mildly friendly towards each other during the 2010s.
