>>507119867 (OP)Iran's stocks of heavy, long range ordinance have been depleted. They've been selling everything they can to the Russians, aside from what they have already thrown at Israel. They're rebuilding, as their deals with China to obtain huge shipments of rocket fuel ingredients shows. But, they're a little short right now.
Outside of drones their air force is falling apart or already grounded. They're trying to get the Russians to pay for stuff with modern combat aircraft, but the Russians are kinda short there too. So, no air force.
Outside of their own coastal areas the Iranian navy are just targets waiting to happen. Hamas and Hezbollah are out of the picture for the immediate future. Syria, Jordan, and Egypt don't care any more. So, Iran don't have much to throw at Israel at the moment.
On the other side, Israel's size and population are tiny. They're not going to send an army overseas to invade and occupy Iran. It's how much damage does Israel wanna do until they run out of bombs and missiles?
The wild card to look for would be a special operations induced rebellions and strategic assassinations across Iran.