>>507701464This is outdated Cold War logic. High class weapon systems have their value but in attritional warfare they can't keep up and finding from the Ukraine war have demonstrated that counter measure technology has caught up and nothing is untouchable.
The PRC ultimate goal is to push the U.S. out of the first island chain. They will do that without a war first, but are building up precisely to conduct war if that fails. Every yuan in the PLA's mouth is actually a fucking terrible thing to have happen now because the PLA is rapidly combining the best approaches from the U.S. and Russia while cultivating alliances precisely to allow it to break the containment the U.S. is trying to invoke.
The only real downside here is that both the U.S. and China are in a demographic crisis that only immigration seems to fix. If you take U.S. population growth right now and remove immigration, it's fucking dire. At this rate China and the U.S. are going to have demographic shifts that weaken them.
The problem here is that the U.S. can't stand to have that happen. Most of it's population is unfit to serve already.
The U.S. does not want China to move on Taiwan because the central strategy here is deterrence. We are already in the realm of China potentially winning in a fight in the Pacific.
That hasn't been possible since the IJN. The last thing the U.S. wants is that, and if you don't believe me compare assets in INDOPACOM to the PLA/PLAN.
>>507701752Russia is much better off than you think and is actively preparing for a greater European war the U.S. is already afraid to join in. All the talk of Euros paying for their own defense is real. The U.S. will abandon Europe for the Middle East and China and just hope the EU can stop Russia when the move comes.
The U.S. is actively running its assets into readiness crises and stretching itself thin. China allows that because these carriers and munitions can't be replaced quickly and the U.S. is running them into rustpits.