>>507804051 (OP)the moment the US enters Iran, and gets tied down there. (Iran is a lot larger than Iraq, and has shown to be able to shoot F35s)
Greatest chance that the US response won't be overwhelming, as they won't be excited to open a third proxy war front.
And if the US doesn't go all out on China, Taiwan will run out of bullets and ammo, even if the commies fuck it up more than the russians did in ukraine.