WW3 has begun. Back in 2003, when they were talking about invading Iraq, markets crashed. But today, markets are near all time highs, and in a coma.

Make it make sense!

>>507910290 (OP)
war is the best business

>>507910290 (OP)
Since 2003, stocks have went from 12% of GDP to 45% of GDP.

>>507910290 (OP)
>when in war interest rates low

>>507910290 (OP)
It's all fake. The line will only ever go up because they can print infinite cash.

>>507910290 (OP)
because nothing ever happens

>>507910290 (OP)
Investors have realized that this is a """"war"""" not a war.
Some random shit happening in the Middle East is basically just the background elevator music of geopolitics.

>>507910290 (OP)
>a small nation of kikes fighting a politically and economically isolated nation of browns is WW3
>moreover, this is supposed to make the market crash for some reason
Sure thing schlomo.

>>507910290 (OP)
That's ridiculous. The world is too old and too broke for WW3.

>>507910290 (OP)
Defence industry money machine go burr.

>>507910290 (OP)
War is good for the economy

>>507910290 (OP)
always bet on nothing

>>507910290 (OP)
why would asset prices collapse when the markets know the fed will just make money printer go brrrrrrrr to pay for everything?

all you're seeing is joe sixpack getting bent over and fucked

The markets are levitated by huge injections of funny money. They will let it drop at some point, but right now there is too much shit going down.

You know when Iran says, "we are shutting the Straight for 100 days to oil and nat gas ships" and nothing happens to the market, things are bad.

>>507910290 (OP)
the sapiens are excited for the great revealing. the bloodshed and chaos thrill them. they are ready.

>>507910290 (OP)
WW3 IS FUN! PARTY PARTY PARTY!

BOOOM! WEEEEEE-HOOOOOO! FIREWORKS! THE 4th CAME EARLY! CRACK A KEG OF BEER, BOYS!

>>507910290 (OP)
There is only two possible explanations.
One is that nobody believes this bullshit is real anymore. We had a run where we have seen:
> WW3 scares several times
> Japanese carry trade disaster
> Trump almost getting killed
> Cyber pandemic
> China coming up with their onw AI
And a bunch of other bullshit. None of them were serious in the end so people dont believe it now.
The second explanation is that actually retail is scared and it is selling a lot, but the big players are buying everything they sell because the markets are gongo up hard in the next months.

>>507910290 (OP)
Bombing an important country like Iran isn’t WW3
Plus no one likes Iran.
>but BRICS
lol. Russia is better off with Iran destroyed anyways and China isn’t going to stick its neck out to fight its number one trading partner

>>507910290 (OP)
Higher for longer

>>507910290 (OP)
>>507910540
This.
Iran got buck-broken badly enough over the first weekend of the war that come Monday, it was clear the regime was going to have to give up its nuclear program or have it forcibly destroyed, or be toppled completely.
They're pricing in a quick, decisive victory.

Oil will go to 300. Good luck economy!

Money printing is only a problem if you can't justify the reasons for it. Corona, ESG, markets were running out of excuses. War is a hell of a good reason to print more.

>>507910387
ok yuri

>>507910869
and of course
> The tariffs bullshit

>>507910290 (OP)
because iran is already irrelevant for world trade
I think erasing iran would actually be good for the markets

>>507911282
Nothing ever Happens
The coof charade for the 20/21 bail out was the straw that broke the camel. you would literally need nukes not one or two but enough that it really doesnt matter - and even then, the first thing that gets posted when they fall is
NEH

>>507910290 (OP)
Its all fake bro
everything

>>507910290 (OP)

>>507910290 (OP)
The entire US economy is dependent on the military-industrial complex you dumb nigger

>>507911155
priced in. back to between 32 - 40

>>507910687
>You know when Iran says, "we are shutting the Straight for 100 days to oil and nat gas ships"
You literally just made that shit up.

>>507910290 (OP)
Pretty simple to explain, people of today are obnoxiously stupid and the boomers have gone insane
I live in California in the Bay area and I'm noticing businesses closing left and right, I can't imagine how bad it must be in red states
Things are becoming visibly noticable, once things start to penetrate the perpetual brain fog most people are stuck in the panic is going to biblical
The economy is back down to COVID levels because of trump the orange russia's Manchurian cadidate's tariffs and only getting worse

>>507912056

Would I do that?

https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/israel-iran-conflict-strait-of-hormuz-oil-trade-importance-13897656.html

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iranian-mines-in-the-straits-of-hormuz-could-shut-down-a-fifth-of-oil-flows-in-a-week/ar-AA1GPQ6b?ocid=BingNewsSerp

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/what-would-happen-if-iran-closes-the-strait-of-hormuz-all-scenarios-explained-iran-israel-war-news/articleshow/121887383.cms

>>507910290 (OP)
WW3 has not begun. Iran's economy is relatively small and most of their oil exports go to China.
Stocks aren't a good indicator of the health of the overall economy, they are more useful as a indicator of consumer confidence and wildly change over trivial things all the time.
You shouldn't listen to /pol/. It is one of the absolute worst places for anything of substance. It is full of liars and fools.

>>507912336
>Muah TDS
nope. most blame has to be put on Clinton and Greespan and Obama and Bernanke. The dnc was so afraid of a carter moment they destroyed their party and donor class

the dnc is literally the nazi party

>>507912458
World war 3 has been going on for years, decades even like when Putin was posting himself riding topless on a horse psy op

Speaking of liars and fools, there's one now >>507912336

>>507910290 (OP)
>WW3 has begun
nothing is happening
and nothing will continue to happen

>>507912713
i remember niggers on here calling for a draft when ukraine got invaded kek

>>507910290 (OP)
stock market is fake. it's being propped up by money printed out of thin air.

>>507912713
No, it hasn't.
Please stop posting. It's embarrassing.

>>507910290 (OP)
Since 2008, the government has guaranteed that any stock market crash will be short lived, or not even happen in the first place (PPP). Major investors have nothing to fear for as long as the US rules the world economically. Wall St. will always be bailed out and they all know it now, and they've known it for 17 years.

wait, are there seriously people who still think the stock market is based on fundamentals?

>>507912935
>2008
hey zoomer
the shitshow started after the bush admin and clinton refusing to deflate the bubble

>>507910290 (OP)
Pay your dues to the banking cabal and you can find out. You didn't get the BIS memo I take it? Gold is in favor again as well.

>>507910290 (OP)
>Make it make sense!
It's all fake and gay, like space.

>>507910687
My tanker stocks are actually up 6% since the announcement lmao. It's all bullshit dude.

>>507912056
it's a snow shitter
a pajeet does what it must

>>507912595
No blame to be had for the Republicans in Congress and Gingrich, or how about Nixon shipping manufacturing to China so they can give us a better fight when they join Russia in world war 3
How about when Reagan destroyed the working/middle class
It's almost like your larping as a moron to disguise your bad faith argumentation
Wasn't Trump's tariffs supposed to bring manufacturing back to the US and it's doing the exact opposite by driving the last bit of manufacturing we have away while also ballooning inflation, but that's what you want a destroyed America full of shitskins like your Indian candidate for governor of ohio and FBI director, just like your right wing ceo's ruined silicon valley with h1b1 jeets with ppl like the CEO of eBay meg Whitman and Elon musk the poo worshipping chinsect junkie

It's not the value of the stocks going up, it's the value of a dollar going down.

>>507910290 (OP)
SPY will go to 690 if war happens kek

>>507910290 (OP)
It is a little frustrating. Everything tanks on the smallest of shit, but WW3 starts and it basically goes sideways and slightly up.

Iran needs to blockade oil from Kuwait n shit. They do that, the market collapses.

>>507910290 (OP)
It is a feelings-casino for the middle class and shell-game for the rich that is not based on reality.

>>507910290 (OP)
Because Iran is not actually a threat. Israel is just a psychotic and evil country.

>>507914474
I think russia and china are holding them back from fucking with the markets because they don't want to suffer economic consequences either.

Seems to me like russia/china don't actually want to fight ZOG, they just want to be left alone and aren't willing to make sacrifices just to see ZOG bleed. Which is why i think they will lose.

Wall Street Jews are holding the line and "preventing panic."

>>507910290 (OP)
Jews dont want to scare the goy cattle by causing a market panic. The goyim will be needed for the coming slaughter ahead. A market crashes might make them wary about joining in the fight.

>>507914850
Iconic that american thinks Ukraine (40 million) vs russia (150 million) is an unwinnable lost cause

But Israel (9 million) vs Iran (90 million) is a noble crusade that demands the sacrifice of every last American man woman and child and it is our Christian duty to enter the war (that Israel started) on their behalf and fight the enemy tooth and nail with everything we've got and no one is allowed to question or protest doing so or they will be thrown in jail.

Holy Fuck. I hope the rest of the world takes note of this flagrant hypocrisy and never trusts america again. Crash our hegemony over the world we clearly dont deserve it.

>>507915563
*ironic

>>507910290 (OP)
It'll get there once everything aligns. They are faced with two major dilemmas, who should be the president (fall-guy) when it happens and which banks should they allow to be thrown under the bus.

Stop watching direction-brain the stawwwwwk mahhhkit

Global debt (bond) market is on brink of collapse.
Nobody wants to buy the debt.
all you daytraderboiiiis, cryptobros better hope you're squared away

>>507914766
>not based on reality
(RE: stocks) That is certain.
More la-la land than ever, even compared to 5 years ago

>>507910290 (OP)
- WW3 fearmongering was also raised in the context of the Syrian civil war and the Ukraine war, and probably dozens of other crises in the past decades as well. It's not real.
- Lack of better alternatives to put your money
- Passive ETF/indexing flows are very strong nowadays, a large segment of investors only ever buys no matter what due to 401k flows and 50 years of "passive investing outperforms everything, buy the dip" wisdom
- Crisis fatigue - there's always some crisis going on, and it doesn't really matter in the long run

Mike Green has a lot of interview content on youtube on the passive investing bubble. This is backed by academic research, and it will be interesting to see how a reversal of passive flows from net inflows to outflows due to retiring boomers or possibly large job losses may tank the markets. But he has been warning about this since 2017 and his position is that you should exploit this effect instead of trading against it.

>>507912452
Yeah, you'd probably do anything really, you literally lied then posted proof of your lies.

>>507910290 (OP)
>WHY are stonks not crashing?

Because war has already been priced in.