Why is the Iran Israel war already fizzling out? - /pol/ (#508613151) [Archived: 912 hours ago]

Anonymous ID: G+VZDBgwUnited States
6/24/2025, 9:27:28 PM No.508613151
Chudacus
Chudacus
md5: 6ccb1285830dd9315c2b8e58493887f0🔍
It only lasted two weeks. This is a tragedy.
Replies: >>508613952
Anonymous ID: SGe/k9TwUnited States
6/24/2025, 9:33:43 PM No.508613952
>>508613151 (OP)
on the wikipedia portal about conflicts involving israel there are only 18 listed. this of course is not including ALL military operations of every stripe involving israel, but simply basic major conflicts of your typical 2 belligerents type. of the 18 listed: here is the breakdown of results
>israeli victory 4
>arab victory: 1
>uprising suppressed: 2
>inconclusive: 9
>both declare victory: 2
the stand out of course are the conflicts with an inconclusive result.
giving us an exact 50% chance of the "current thing" resulting in inconclusiveness, a 22% chance of an israeli victory, an 11% chance that both sides will declare victory, and finally a 5% of an arab victory.
so in light of such debates like the one between cruz and carlson, and other various actors shilling for one side or the other, we see that both sides are hopeless in that we have an actual 61% chance of inconclusiveness (inconclusive + both declare victory) as both sides undermine their own conflict at the expense of western nations fighting with each other on ideas ranging from genocide to chosen people.


this is why. conflicts with israel are fake and gay and amount to nothing more than two conniving merchants haggling in the bazaar over camels and goats. there was a 61% chance of an inconclusive results and such is the way of it.
Anonymous ID: CjKeXX6RBrazil
6/24/2025, 9:38:32 PM No.508614389
>two weeks
Well, well, well. Right on schedule.