>>508968470 (OP)>How fucked are we?There is an absolute-solution [A fortress solution no super intelligence could break] to the problem of deepfakes and forgeries of images and video that are hallucinations from simulations, from which images are photographs and video of the real world.
The Good news is it's fairly straight forward and the implementation is already done, no new inventions needed. It's the double-spend problem solution in cryptos such as but not limited to bitcoin. Solving deepfakes with 100% certainty, is possible with an implementation of 1024 bit PKI, and Blockchain.
The bad news is you've got to have a piece of software running between every eyeball and every listening device ever created. Every camera, every smartphone, every computer, every smart device etc.
The software on the camera will authenticate itself to the central server, by doing something that nobody-else without access to the camera can do, so the software can confirm its own authenticity as taking real pictures by directing how the light is inducted via a cryptographic code that is agreed upon prior to taking film.
In this way, the central server can be absolutely sure that the authenticated software has control over the way in which the light is converted to digits in pixels. With that known we can do step 2 which is public-key private key digital MD5-summing. The software can md5sum the image/video and the server receives the md5 sum and the unique uuid/ulid.
Then the person who observes the image and video can press a button which will lauch an automatic confirmation test to the central server, is the md5 sum on the pixels I'm getting here the same as the one you got when the video was checked in? If yes then it's real video, otherwise it might not be and the burden of proof is on the people who don't have the authentication mark.
In this way, you can achieve a 100% certainty that a given image/video is of the real world, if the central server is working.