>>509254751mostly for the house speaker, which promised to pass budget and appropriations bills this term. the best possible outcome for the US is to let the government shutdown (no budget compromise leading to debt ceiling being reached). this would allow the president to make emergency cutbacks on federal spending to prioritize necessary operations over discretionary spending, and also force through a 'balanced budget' (since no further borrowing is authorized).
since our best possible outcome is no compromise, it is highly likely that political capital to achieve a budget resolution exists and will occur before midterms. i'd expect it to happen before the end of summer, personally (at least for the budget bill, if not the committee appropriations bills).
keep in mind that this can all be broken up into 3 seperate reconciliation measures also. that is another way to force through all the necessary changes, effectively one B of the BBB each time.
it is clear that there is no political consensus in the US Senate to pass legislation necessary for the normal function of the US government this year outside of the reconciliation process. either republicans will suspend the 60 vote cloture clause, replace the senate parlimentarian, switch to forcing through 3 seperate reconciliation packages, or ignore the gridlock and let government shutdown and the debt limit solve all the budget problems created by democrat obstructionism. all outcomes look pretty good, except rushing through a shitty BBB bill.
most likely the senate will manage to rush through the trash before midterms forces the issue--that's my guess. when we have all the cards, for some reason, republicans tend to fold before the showdown settling for a split pot (dems are all in with no chips already).