How likely is an economic crash soon?

>>509263765 (OP)
Line only goes up

>>509263765 (OP)
stock brokers tounge my anus

>>509263765 (OP)
I'm up 200 Grand this year and I don't have any money.

>>509263765 (OP)
It already happened. Now they are just printing money to make it look like their meme economy is fine.

>>509263765 (OP)
It already happened, and it will never happen (until the wheels come off). So yeah, it's 50/50.

>>509265063
>>509265392
What?

>>509266546
It's 50/50

>>509263765 (OP)
The economy is strong, some say it's the strongest economy in the history of the United States.

>>509266546
The stock market puked up 25% in 2022 and 20% back in April of this year. The sons of bitches did it, anon.

>>509266806
It doesn't feel like it dropped that much. Unemployment has barely changed.

>>509263765 (OP)
0%, not going to happen anytime soon.

You can thank your President, Donald J. Trump, for that!

>>509267095
Yeah, but we're all waiting for home prices to go down...

>>509264791
I'm sure in 1975 those prices were considered expensive.

>>509267080
I mean SPX, to be clear. Go check it yourself.

>>509267137
That's not going to happen. Housing is only for the wealthy! Just stop being poor, dude.

>>509263765 (OP)
let me pose YOU a question.
How long is two weeks, *really*?

100%

>tariff exemptions end in july
>iranian counterstrikes on saudi oil terminals spiking energy prices
>5% of the american workforce being deported, bullied out or otherwise forced to leave
>top 5% of colleges (over 80% of science contracts, research, representing over $200 bn dollars) effectively closed due to trump grant cuts and foreign students returned home
>totally unregulated crypto market that will bust like regular banks did in 1929

We're only 3 years away from the 2nd largest bank bankruptcy in US history, Silicon Valley Bank, and nobody here remembers and boomers are too stupid to care. They will care when their ATMs stop working as JPMC ATMs did in 2008. Shit hits the fan and Trump's FDIC will not insure your deposits. Trump will take your money and give it to Israel. Literally. It's where the SVB mafia went and now work as Netanyahu's finance ministers. Don't say you weren't warned.

>>509265063
>Remember back in 2019, the repo market saw an intense spike in interest rates and then the federal reserve had to do an emergency intervention and liquidate the privatized financial sectors operating in short term loans printing a shit-ton of new money in order to stabilize the markets and prevent an all out global catastrophe?

Yeah, me neither.

It's DEFINITELY going to happen this time bros. Just like we said 2 months ago and 2 months before that!

>>509263765 (OP)
Securities fraud is paying too well. When you can purchase tens of millions of shares during the days session, and then gap up your investment 4 points using 3000 shares at European open everyday. The green jew is a fucking scam. Ive been spectating this thievery for a several years

>>509267379
It can feel like a long time.

>>509267095
Putting Kamala in charge was the accelerated version of global decline. Trump helps slow it down a bit, but he is by no means landing this nosedive safely. All in all, Trump bought you a little more time to enjoy the fake economy. When the bubble burst this time around, it will make 2008 feel like a carnival.

Huge chance. In fact, when the looters are done, the curtain can come down at any time now. They have to pump money in to levitate the stock market.

$3Billion dollars leaves the US EVERY DAY, just on interest on the $31Trillion debt. This year the US is running another $1Trillion deficit. The 5 main countries that have to buy this debt to keep the US afloat are China, Japan, UK, Luxembourg and Canada. Trump is trying to muscle 3 of them and annex one of them. See any problem with this? The last bond auction could only be filled by raising the interest rate up to 5.104% - that means 5% of the $31T = $1.5T interest per year. If he pisses those 5 off more, maybe the rate needs to go to 6% to sell it. Forget the chance that any of the 5 start to SELL the debt. Then all bets are off. The US can decide if they don't want Medicaid/Medicare, defense or maybe social security.

Since Trump took office the USD$ has lost 14% against the $Euro and 8% against our CAD%. The US dollar is going to toilet paper at a pretty good rate.

Trump isn't this stupid and has many smart advisers. There is a purpose to all this and it appear to be crashing with no survivors.

>>509267792
How to profit off of this as retail?

>>509268233
Profit off of this as retail?

>>509263765 (OP)
120%

>>509268839
Why?

>>509263765 (OP)
The crash already started in February.

>>509267237
It was probably real food then. They had dollar menu burgers and even $.49 burgers on specials growing up in the 90s. But it was poor quality in the 90s

>>509264791
Do you know what they call a "Quarter Pounder with Cheese" in Paris?

>>509268152
What does your projected timeline for the rest of this summer look like with the USD devaluation?

>>509268152
when do you think the next global depression will start? And do you think that it could lead to a ww3?

>>509269168
I miss the 3 dollars for two cheeseburgers fries and a drink. Used to get that every Friday night before playing Magic the Gathering at the big WotC game center in Seattle. Now Seattle, McDonalds, Magic the Gathering are all fucking awful and gay and I can't enjoy anything.

>>509268233
GameStop (unironically)
Also, checked

>>509263765 (OP)
it's a certainty, and the bag holders will be anyone who holds USD or is unable to escape to a non-USD economy.
there will be no safe haven.

>>509266667
Thanks to endless browns

>>509263765 (OP)
Wasn't it supposed to have started back in January? or the month after? how many times is it going to get pushed back xisters?

>>509270203
Inside her here, I'm now told it's two weeks, a fortnight basically

The trinity of pol

>>509263765 (OP)
2 more weeks for sure

>>509270069
yeah, we're a small county with a small population, with an arse job market and nz'ers feeling Aussie. Something tells me we would be assraped economically

>>509263765 (OP)
very likely. it's going to happen and it's going to be really bad. it's trump's fault. he played too hard. the economy can only absorb so much retardation. unfortunately the effects of actions are very delayed and not immediate so it is pretty difficult for normies to see the connection. based on my estimations the great depression should be visible right now to most people in the us (otherwise you wouldn't be asking) and within the next 3 months it should manifest in a way that it is undoubtedly happening. by the end of the year you're all probably engaging in civil war so whatever you do don't get involved in any form of war abroad. kek

>>509263765 (OP)
Crashes only come in autumn or spring, not summer

>>509263765 (OP)
The economy has been crashing for 5 years

>>509263765 (OP)
China has one like every 4 years, so like 100% probability they will crash again.
I mean how the fuck does 50% of your housing market crash lmao.

>>509269168
Not as bad as it got in oater years anon. 2010s mcdonalds was very bad

Deepseek almost completely crashed the entire market.
Now it seems like nothing will crash it and we almost just had a war with Iran.
It needs to crash.
Everyone says it needs to crash.
The housing market needs to crash.
Everything is just bonkers going out of control driving the price up.

>>509269722
Based on the current rates and changes in the bond market the USD is projected to fall more around that 10% that they need to ether cut or increase revenue to offset. We’re looking at two more weeks

>>509268152
That's not money leaving the economy idiot. That newly printed interest money going to the private and foreign sectors i.e. inflating the economy. Most of the people who own US bonds are U.S. Citizens who are now nominally richer. The higher interest rates are an attempt to "keep" the dollar strong but it is actually sending the signal the dollar is weak i.e. higher interest LOWER the dollar value because everyone thinks the economy is unstable BECAUSE they are keeping rates high. Trump is correct and Powell is an idiot. Usury i.e. Interest rates aren't a sign of strength but of weakness and investors aren't idiots like economists.
If Trump manages to force Powell out and lower rates then the dollar will rise countrary to what the morons called Experts and economist say. Trump is smart but surrounded by idiot advisers just like before....it's so tiresome.
Get it through you fucking Jew head "USURY IS BAD" mmmKay.

>>509263765 (OP)
Hopefully soon so I can maybe think about a house less than 300k

Financial crashes and reboots are always preceded by a major war, that is WW3

>>509267455
based Mark Blyth anon

>>509271141
Not a chance goy, those houses will go to Blackrock not you vile goyim.

>>509266546
Money is fake and jews will jew us whenever they feel like it

Trump is doing everything wrong so most likely.

Theyre going to kill Supermarkets, Hospitals, and many other things with this stupid bill.

>>509271141
Housing market will bifurcate, and if Trump and Company de-fang HUD, it may set forth a long term trend of bifurcation, segregated communities.

You will be able to afford a house, but I hope you also like niggers and drugs.

>>509269692
ربع باوند مع الجبن

>>509268233
after hrs futures. The last couple minutes of session the SPY and Qs, look for huge volume candles that barely produce a dint in market direction. They do this when they plan to pump it with European open. Sometimes they get rinsed from fundamentals but not when the VIX is in favor.

>>509272224

>>509267792
>purchase tens of millions of shares during the days session, and then gap up your investment 4 points using 3000 shares at European open
can you explain what it means to "gap up" and what the overall goal is with that kind of move?

>>509269722
>>509269726

When Hemingway was asked how he went bankrupt, he replied, 'two ways, gradually then suddenly'.

The stuff going on in New York has me very suspicious. Jewish people can literally close up shop and run away - all because of an anti-Semitic Mayor being elected. That does not happen organically in the center of US financial power. This feels more like a planned escape. This is something to watch if it goes beyond the rhetoric phase and into action.

I don't own any XRP, but I would keep an eye on it. If there was to be quick liquidations, it isn't easy to move large money fast. You very much want to be the first one running for the door. Settlement of funds over 3-5 days when many companies are collapsing could be trouble. XRP allows instant settlement for mega sums.

>>509270502
You’re alright, kraut. It is obvious to people who can see through the theatrics. All signals are screaming “danger ahead”. Unfortunately most American’s don’t know a thing outside of socials like tiktok instagra, etc. Can’t wait to see the dances they’ll make up for this kek

>>509271122

25% is foreign and leaves the economy. 55% is domestically held debt, but is still leaving the US government. When they can't afford defense or social security, it isn't like the domestic investors will pass on the interest.

The debt can never be paid back. It almost seems Trump wants to default on the debt and go full isolationist. Bring the military home and dare anyone to come try to collect.

>>509263765 (OP)
It won't. Broke governments are alraedy putting into play the mechanisms to tax the hell out of the greatest generational wealth transfer in history, from boomers to their kids and grandchildren. Watch em take as much as they can, new taxes, fees, levys, etc.