Anonymous
6/20/2025, 2:39:44 AM
No.16702929
>>16702853
>If I tell you what you saw, all the probabilities go to 0 or 1. Demanding this information is nonsensical.
Well, that's precisely the point, innit? I would have this information in the scenario you're having me play out and now you're having me pretend otherwise for the sake of your probability problem? Probability is based on knowledge. If you're going to arbitrarily deny me my knowledge to force an outcome it's just asinine.
And yes, for that reason ut absolutely matters whether it's me (not "me") or Paul. Because I don't know what Paul knows. But I obviously know what I know.
If you refer to me in the second person in a probability problem then I need the information I would have in the scenario described in order to tell you the probability I would assign to something in the guven scenario. If you want ne to be a third party judging someone else's odds then describe that. But expecting me to treat "me" as someone else for the sake of your puzzle working out as intended is too much if a stretch.
>If I tell you what you saw, all the probabilities go to 0 or 1. Demanding this information is nonsensical.
Well, that's precisely the point, innit? I would have this information in the scenario you're having me play out and now you're having me pretend otherwise for the sake of your probability problem? Probability is based on knowledge. If you're going to arbitrarily deny me my knowledge to force an outcome it's just asinine.
And yes, for that reason ut absolutely matters whether it's me (not "me") or Paul. Because I don't know what Paul knows. But I obviously know what I know.
If you refer to me in the second person in a probability problem then I need the information I would have in the scenario described in order to tell you the probability I would assign to something in the guven scenario. If you want ne to be a third party judging someone else's odds then describe that. But expecting me to treat "me" as someone else for the sake of your puzzle working out as intended is too much if a stretch.