Anonymous
6/20/2025, 3:33:06 AM
No.16702969
>>16702947
Look, would you agree that in the original problem, you are more likely to have selected the box with 2 gold balls in it because the probability of selecting a gold ball from a gold and silver ball is less than the probability of selecting a gold ball from a pair of gold balls?
And would you agree that the probability of selecting a gold ball from a single gold ball is the same as selecting a gold ball from a pair of gold balls?
If you can agree to both of those things, can you agree that selecting a gold ball from among the gold balls in a box does not make one box with gold balls less likely than the other?
Look, would you agree that in the original problem, you are more likely to have selected the box with 2 gold balls in it because the probability of selecting a gold ball from a gold and silver ball is less than the probability of selecting a gold ball from a pair of gold balls?
And would you agree that the probability of selecting a gold ball from a single gold ball is the same as selecting a gold ball from a pair of gold balls?
If you can agree to both of those things, can you agree that selecting a gold ball from among the gold balls in a box does not make one box with gold balls less likely than the other?