What’s the mathematical statistics counter to Pascals Wager?

>>16699023 (OP)
Pascals wager is flawed. There are thousands of gods. And nothing angers the typical god more than you worshiping the wrong god.

On the bright side, if you go to hell you get to spend eternity confident in the knowledge that things can't possibly get worse.

>>16699030
Doesn’t that still increase my chances though mathematically speaking?

>>16699032
Worshiping the wrong god, which is almost a guarantee since there are so many means you will get set to super-hell.

>>16699036
I think your logic is flawed because you’re changing the parameters of what god and hell are. You may as well say there’s a chance god is lying to us and will actually send us to hell if we believe, which isn’t what Pascals Wager is about.

>>16699023 (OP)
It models assumptions that aren't in evidence. A less biased model would give you 50-50.

>>16699045
I don’t get what you’re saying. Your image implies it’s 100% better to take Pascal’s wager not 50/50

>>16699031

>>16699041
>you can't just change the parameters I did not and cannot specify!

>>16699053
They are specified, see the quadrants in the op

>>16699030
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PqJpZOljjG8

>>16699023 (OP)
if you believe and god doesnt exist something does happen, which is you have to follow all of god's orders as they come through his prophets

>>16699030
>And nothing angers the typical god more than you worshiping the wrong god.
No that is pretty much unique to Middle Eastern monotheist religion.

>>16699023 (OP)
Believing is one thing, but actually taking the effort to follow the Commandments is a lifelong struggle that many believers can't accomplish.

>>16699030
i think there is an agreement among the conmen to protect their craft and thus atheism is considered worse than having the wrong religion.

>>16699023 (OP)
I believe that either way I don't go to hell, i.e. God never sends people to hell

>Be Blaise Pascal
>Die
>Meet God
>"So, Frenchie, you DID believe in Me out of genuine faith and not some self-serving game-theoretical bullshit, right?"

>>16699023 (OP)
If you give me a million dollars there's a non-zero chance I'll give you infinity dollars in return. If you don't, there's a non-zero chance I'll murder you in your sleep.

Now give me my million dollars.

>>16699023 (OP)
It's dumb because you need to sincerely believe and put your trust into the idea of God (Christcuckery in this case). It's not like winning a lottery, you don't buy a ticket "just in case". You're either a follower or you're not.
>>16699030
Most religions historically didn't spend much time structuring punishments for nonbelievers or heretics, at most they provided a sense of cosmic justice in the cases of murderers, rapists, thieves etc.

>>16699023 (OP)
Lol, this is the kind of "reasoning" philosotards engaged in. It's quite pathetic.

>>16699023 (OP)
if he really wants me to believe in him maybe he can prove his existence, after all he is omniscient and omnipotent

I exist, You go to hell. (not hell, but actually death)

>>16699023 (OP)
The probability of a god that sends you to hell for not believing in him is equal to the probability of a god that sends you to hell for believing in him.