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7/3/2025, 10:58:27 AM
https://x.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1940675772139626813
>After two days in Ukraine, numerous conversations, and yesterday’s Trump decision, here is another brief military-political update.
>Let’s start with the Ukrainian government. It emphasizes successes in the Sumy region and portrays the recapture of a single village as the failure of a large-scale Russian offensive, allegedly involving 50,000 soldiers. However, available footage suggests a figure closer to a tenth of that number.
>At the same time, the ongoing loss of the Donetsk region is barely addressed anymore—at least not in exchanges with Western partners.
>In fact, the Ukrainian army is currently losing large parts of the south and is now fighting on the territory of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
>The cities of Toretsk and Chasiv Yar have effectively fallen to Russian forces, without this being openly communicated. Russia is now advancing on Kostiantynivka from three sides—a city that, as recently as September 2024, was considered the central supply hub for the entire middle front.
>Ukraine is currently losing an area the size of Berlin approximately every two months—and there is no realistic plan in Kyiv, Berlin, Brussels, or Washington to stop the Russian advance. At the same time, Russian air superiority over Ukrainian cities is more pronounced than ever. This is evident in hundreds of weekly drone attacks on critical infrastructure across the country.
it's so yvir
>After two days in Ukraine, numerous conversations, and yesterday’s Trump decision, here is another brief military-political update.
>Let’s start with the Ukrainian government. It emphasizes successes in the Sumy region and portrays the recapture of a single village as the failure of a large-scale Russian offensive, allegedly involving 50,000 soldiers. However, available footage suggests a figure closer to a tenth of that number.
>At the same time, the ongoing loss of the Donetsk region is barely addressed anymore—at least not in exchanges with Western partners.
>In fact, the Ukrainian army is currently losing large parts of the south and is now fighting on the territory of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
>The cities of Toretsk and Chasiv Yar have effectively fallen to Russian forces, without this being openly communicated. Russia is now advancing on Kostiantynivka from three sides—a city that, as recently as September 2024, was considered the central supply hub for the entire middle front.
>Ukraine is currently losing an area the size of Berlin approximately every two months—and there is no realistic plan in Kyiv, Berlin, Brussels, or Washington to stop the Russian advance. At the same time, Russian air superiority over Ukrainian cities is more pronounced than ever. This is evident in hundreds of weekly drone attacks on critical infrastructure across the country.
it's so yvir
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