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7/21/2025, 11:58:35 AM
>>716038762
>It just needs to improve.
Easier said than done.
I think improvements in the existing machine learning models are possible, but it will get increasingly difficult (re: expensive) because quality improvements are a quality control problem and there are diminishing returns on investment with this activity in business. The current solution from every big AI company is to throw more computing power at the problem. Wells Fargo analysts expect AI computing power consumption to increase 100x in 5 years. Already most AI companies have released a new version of their product which was actually worse at performing tasks from previous versions -- they aren't even really sure how to not make their product worse despite spending more money
Lastly, right now, none of the big name AI companies are making money. They are kept entirely afloat from investor funding. People paying to use chatgpt aren't actually paying the cost to run the computers and the engineers to build the software. Why? Because people don't want these products at their current cost. Will that opinion change when the products are 100x more expensive?
>It just needs to improve.
Easier said than done.
I think improvements in the existing machine learning models are possible, but it will get increasingly difficult (re: expensive) because quality improvements are a quality control problem and there are diminishing returns on investment with this activity in business. The current solution from every big AI company is to throw more computing power at the problem. Wells Fargo analysts expect AI computing power consumption to increase 100x in 5 years. Already most AI companies have released a new version of their product which was actually worse at performing tasks from previous versions -- they aren't even really sure how to not make their product worse despite spending more money
Lastly, right now, none of the big name AI companies are making money. They are kept entirely afloat from investor funding. People paying to use chatgpt aren't actually paying the cost to run the computers and the engineers to build the software. Why? Because people don't want these products at their current cost. Will that opinion change when the products are 100x more expensive?
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