>>508196557
>the target will be entered before the planes even take off
The "target".. what target you retard? The "target" is the first hole created by the first gbu... you need extreme accuracy over multiple strikes.
Hitting the exact same spot on a 90-meter-deep hardened target isn’t trivial. Even a few meters off and the whole chain of bombs fails. You think they test this stuff in ideal conditions for a reason? They will descend and use plenty of visual... and even then it might fail...

Here is a quick breakdown:

>Fordow is ~80–90m underground
>buried in mountain made of hard rock (likely limestone or metamorphic)
>specifically picked and built to survive bunker busters and airstrikes

>GBU-28 = 5,000 lb bomb, penetrates ~6m reinforced concrete or ~3–6m hard rock
>GBU-57 MOP = 30,000 lb, penetrates ~60m concrete or ~8–20m hard rock max
>even best-case = not even 1/4 of Fordow’s depth
>penetration is not cumulative unless 100% precision, no crater collapse, perfect sequencing (it won't be)

>GBU-57 MOP tested on:
>60m reinforced concrete
>layered compacted soil and test slabs
>NOT tested directly on natural mountain hard rock

>material at Fordow = dense limestone/dolomite, possibly partially metamorphosed (marble-like toughness)
>so yeah, Fordow is buried in material 2x to 5x tougher than concrete
>plus high density and irregular fracture paths make penetration harder
>plus slope of the mountain can deflect impact angle

>estimated pen into Fordow type rock:
>~8m (worst case, high angle, hard dolomite)
>~15–20m (best case, soft limestone, optimal angle)

>even IF you somehow hit the exact spot multiple times
>you’d still be far short, and Fordow has:
>internal blast-proof barriers
>compartmentalized chambers minimizing damage, making critical hits extremely unlikely
>plus interior blast shielding, reinforced vaults, sensors, damage control