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Colombia – The Edge in Firepower
Population: ~52 million (vs. Peru’s 34 million) bigger manpower pool.
Military Budget: ~$11 billion vs. Peru’s ~$2.5 billion.
Air Force & Helicopter Power: Much stronger. Colombia has Black Hawks and more combat aircraft, including A-29 Super Tucanos.
Experience: Decades of counterinsurgency warfare gave them a battle-tested military.
Alliances: Strong ties with the U.S., NATO partnership status = potential external help.

Peru – The Wall of the Andes
Geography: The Andes are a defensive nightmare for any attacker. You want to roll tanks through Peru? Good luck with that.
Navy: Peru dominates the Pacific with submarines and a stronger naval force. If it ever got maritime, Peru has the edge.
Air Defense & Radar: Peru has Russian and Chinese systems like the Pechora and SPYDERs—not top-tier, but decent.
Resource Control: Controls a chunk of the Amazon Basin; lots of mountains = natural bunkers.
Strategic Wildcards
Terrain: Favors Peru. Offensive operations through jungle or mountain terrain would grind to a crawl.

Urban Warfare: Both countries have major cities near difficult terrain, making a quick blitz unlikely.

Drug Trade & Guerrillas: Both sides have to deal with internal instability (Shining Path in Peru, cartels/FARC remnants in Colombia), meaning a prolonged war would become a quagmire.

Verdict:
Short war (blitz-style): Colombia wins with superior airpower and logistics.

Long war (attrition, guerrilla, defense of territory): Peru becomes a Vietnam-style nightmare, and Colombia gets bogged down.

Real world scenario: Neither wins. Too costly, both have internal issues, and international pressure would shut it down within weeks.

Final score:

Military Might: Colombia
Terrain Defense: Peru
Navy: Peru
Alliances: Colombia

Overall Likely Winner: Colombia… but at the cost of its sanity if it drags on.