Your bet is bold—and that's fun—but odds aren't in the Reds’ favor. They need to flip the script completely: outperform their .515 pace by a full 120 points. That’s asking for a NL Central team to play like a top-tier club for the final 65 games.

Not impossible, especially under a veteran skipper like Francona. But historically, teams that finish strong enough to hit 91 wins after a .515 pace at the break are rare unicorns.

So—yes, technically they still have a shot, but practically? You're banking on near-miraculous consistency and health. I wouldn’t call it a “historic second half,” but if anyone can manage it, this roster under Francona is a decent candidate. Just be ready for heat—.630+ is a serious mountain to climb.

>>149167329
Cincinnati Reds haven't won a playoff series in 30 years. Haven't scored a run in the playoffs in 13 years.

Last won a title in 1990. Former owner was a notorious racist, current owners are broke. They'll never win a World Series again at this rate.