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8/7/2025, 10:35:25 AM
How Trump lowered inflation despite aggressive tariffs
Since Trump took office, the substitution rate of items in the CPI hit a historic high of 35%.
CPI includes food categories like fruits, meats, vegetables, etc.,
and inside fruits, you have apples, oranges, dragon fruits, and so on.
It's basically impossible to track every single type of fruit,
so the CPI picks a few "representative" items to monitor.
But over one-third of those representative items got swapped out.
For example, if tariffs made apple prices jump 30%, apples get kicked out of the representative basket, and uninflated fruits like oranges get included instead as substitutes.
By swapping in items that haven't gone up much, they can basically fake the inflation numbers.
Normally, due to bad harvests, disasters, or trends, about 5–10% of items get swapped monthly.
After Trump's tariffs? That number shot up to 35%. WTF lol
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/entry-level-item-descriptions.htm
Since Trump took office, the substitution rate of items in the CPI hit a historic high of 35%.
CPI includes food categories like fruits, meats, vegetables, etc.,
and inside fruits, you have apples, oranges, dragon fruits, and so on.
It's basically impossible to track every single type of fruit,
so the CPI picks a few "representative" items to monitor.
But over one-third of those representative items got swapped out.
For example, if tariffs made apple prices jump 30%, apples get kicked out of the representative basket, and uninflated fruits like oranges get included instead as substitutes.
By swapping in items that haven't gone up much, they can basically fake the inflation numbers.
Normally, due to bad harvests, disasters, or trends, about 5–10% of items get swapped monthly.
After Trump's tariffs? That number shot up to 35%. WTF lol
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/entry-level-item-descriptions.htm
8/7/2025, 10:35:25 AM
How Trump lowered inflation despite aggressive tariffs
Since Trump took office, the substitution rate of items in the CPI hit a historic high of 35%.
CPI includes food categories like fruits, meats, vegetables, etc.,
and inside fruits, you have apples, oranges, dragon fruits, and so on.
It's basically impossible to track every single type of fruit,
so the CPI picks a few "representative" items to monitor.
But over one-third of those representative items got swapped out.
For example, if tariffs made apple prices jump 30%, apples get kicked out of the representative basket, and uninflated fruits like oranges get included instead as substitutes.
By swapping in items that haven't gone up much, they can basically fake the inflation numbers.
Normally, due to bad harvests, disasters, or trends, about 5–10% of items get swapped monthly.
After Trump's tariffs? That number shot up to 35%. WTF lol
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/entry-level-item-descriptions.htm
Since Trump took office, the substitution rate of items in the CPI hit a historic high of 35%.
CPI includes food categories like fruits, meats, vegetables, etc.,
and inside fruits, you have apples, oranges, dragon fruits, and so on.
It's basically impossible to track every single type of fruit,
so the CPI picks a few "representative" items to monitor.
But over one-third of those representative items got swapped out.
For example, if tariffs made apple prices jump 30%, apples get kicked out of the representative basket, and uninflated fruits like oranges get included instead as substitutes.
By swapping in items that haven't gone up much, they can basically fake the inflation numbers.
Normally, due to bad harvests, disasters, or trends, about 5–10% of items get swapped monthly.
After Trump's tariffs? That number shot up to 35%. WTF lol
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/additional-resources/entry-level-item-descriptions.htm
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