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8/2/2025, 4:27:38 PM
>>512000547
It's not imminent, imminent implies hours to days at most. It's merely inevitable. Big difference.
No sooner than May 2026 no later than June 2027. Is the timeline.
Penghu Islands and Kinmen Islands are the first two hurdles. Former is a key stepping stone with important airfields and port to regroup for the big crossing to the island of Taiwan with a lot of AShM' systems scattered across them due to the island chain defence network, latter is a thorn due to its position off the Chinese mainland. It will be a baptism of fire for the untested PLAN, PLAAF, PLA and all its branches such as the PLANMC who will have a pivotal role in the landings on the islands but all the doctrinal changes(focus on NCO's rather than officers, massive artillery, drones and the many variants, variants of tank types and logistics are enormously important) and conventional real time peer to peer combat data given to them by Russia thanks to the Ukraine war will greatly assist them.
China has built a 2700 auxiliary fleet which started in July 2024(inc 1900 modified US variant infantry and vehicle landing craft) for indo-pacific operations as part of an increasingly likely Sino-American pacific war in the coming years. The final few dozen ro-ro ships(200 in total) will be finished by January 2026. Already testing is underway as recent as yesterday with amphibious tank drills using the ro-ro's alongside the mulberry harbour style ships that can land forces on coastal roads rather than beaches to avoid entrenched positions making *anywhere* on Taiwan now a landing zone, not just the three primary beach areas.
It's not imminent, imminent implies hours to days at most. It's merely inevitable. Big difference.
No sooner than May 2026 no later than June 2027. Is the timeline.
Penghu Islands and Kinmen Islands are the first two hurdles. Former is a key stepping stone with important airfields and port to regroup for the big crossing to the island of Taiwan with a lot of AShM' systems scattered across them due to the island chain defence network, latter is a thorn due to its position off the Chinese mainland. It will be a baptism of fire for the untested PLAN, PLAAF, PLA and all its branches such as the PLANMC who will have a pivotal role in the landings on the islands but all the doctrinal changes(focus on NCO's rather than officers, massive artillery, drones and the many variants, variants of tank types and logistics are enormously important) and conventional real time peer to peer combat data given to them by Russia thanks to the Ukraine war will greatly assist them.
China has built a 2700 auxiliary fleet which started in July 2024(inc 1900 modified US variant infantry and vehicle landing craft) for indo-pacific operations as part of an increasingly likely Sino-American pacific war in the coming years. The final few dozen ro-ro ships(200 in total) will be finished by January 2026. Already testing is underway as recent as yesterday with amphibious tank drills using the ro-ro's alongside the mulberry harbour style ships that can land forces on coastal roads rather than beaches to avoid entrenched positions making *anywhere* on Taiwan now a landing zone, not just the three primary beach areas.
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