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7/1/2025, 10:24:34 PM
>>509233482
WHY PUTIN STILL FIGHTS
>The Kremlin Will End Its War in Ukraine Only When It Knows That Victory Is Impossible
> Russia has not rejected the idea of negotiations, but despite Trump ruling out NATO membership or U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has yet to offer any serious concession to put a deal within reach. At first glance, it is unclear why this is so. After all, the war is now well into its fourth year, and although Russian forces have recently made advances and regularly attack Ukrainian cities with large numbers of drones and missiles, they are still far from achieving Putin’s core objectives.
(unnamed, of course)
> Putin has multiple possible reasons for resisting a cease-fire. First, no issue is more important to him than Ukraine. Ensuring that the country can never be truly independent of Russia is essential to his legacy. Additionally, he does not believe the war to be unwinnable. Despite the grindingly slow progress of Russian forces over the last 18 months, he calculates that Russia’s overall superiority in strength will eventually prove decisive, and that in the end, Ukraine will simply be overwhelmed by Russian power. He also likely views a cease-fire along the current line of contact as inherently unstable. If Russia retained only the territories it currently holds, it would be left occupying an economically inactive, depopulated, damaged chunk of Ukraine that would need to be policed intensively. And the long border with Ukraine would need to be heavily defended.
> Putin knows that any sanctions relief that comes with a cease-fire will be limited and contingent. Even if Trump were inclined to be more generous, the European Union and the United Kingdom would likely resist. Finally, Putin has reason to doubt the great economic deals that Trump promises.
https://archive.md/OxvbI
WHY PUTIN STILL FIGHTS
>The Kremlin Will End Its War in Ukraine Only When It Knows That Victory Is Impossible
> Russia has not rejected the idea of negotiations, but despite Trump ruling out NATO membership or U.S. security guarantees for Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin has yet to offer any serious concession to put a deal within reach. At first glance, it is unclear why this is so. After all, the war is now well into its fourth year, and although Russian forces have recently made advances and regularly attack Ukrainian cities with large numbers of drones and missiles, they are still far from achieving Putin’s core objectives.
(unnamed, of course)
> Putin has multiple possible reasons for resisting a cease-fire. First, no issue is more important to him than Ukraine. Ensuring that the country can never be truly independent of Russia is essential to his legacy. Additionally, he does not believe the war to be unwinnable. Despite the grindingly slow progress of Russian forces over the last 18 months, he calculates that Russia’s overall superiority in strength will eventually prove decisive, and that in the end, Ukraine will simply be overwhelmed by Russian power. He also likely views a cease-fire along the current line of contact as inherently unstable. If Russia retained only the territories it currently holds, it would be left occupying an economically inactive, depopulated, damaged chunk of Ukraine that would need to be policed intensively. And the long border with Ukraine would need to be heavily defended.
> Putin knows that any sanctions relief that comes with a cease-fire will be limited and contingent. Even if Trump were inclined to be more generous, the European Union and the United Kingdom would likely resist. Finally, Putin has reason to doubt the great economic deals that Trump promises.
https://archive.md/OxvbI
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