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ID: p5au3Pea/pol/510730710#510740055
7/18/2025, 8:36:36 PM
>>510739986
>!! On July 18, 2025, the EU agreed on the 18th sanctions package against Russia, which provides for further restrictions on energy trade.
>The price of Russian oil is now strictly limited to $47.6 per barrel
!! How this will affect Russia's economy:
◾ In the coming months, budget-generating oil and gas revenues should fall sharply (a reduction of at least 30–40% is forecast). Inflation will accelerate, and the ruble will weaken;
◾ The room for circumventing sanctions is narrowing;
◾ If India switches to alternative suppliers, this will deprive Russia of a market share that is extremely important to it;
◾ The introduction of sanctions on Nord Stream operations "shuts down" potential loopholes and Moscow's "investment maneuvers" to return to the European market.
The Kremlin understands the severity of the economic consequences of continuing the war, but is not seeking a political solution. Russia understands that the US is also considering the possibility of imposing new sanctions, but there are currently no signs that Putin is ready for de-escalation and genuine peace talks.
Negotiations and the positions of the parties involved - the EU, the US, and China - are important factors that will determine how the situation develops and whether further sanctions will be imposed.
>part 2
>!! On July 18, 2025, the EU agreed on the 18th sanctions package against Russia, which provides for further restrictions on energy trade.
>The price of Russian oil is now strictly limited to $47.6 per barrel
!! How this will affect Russia's economy:
◾ In the coming months, budget-generating oil and gas revenues should fall sharply (a reduction of at least 30–40% is forecast). Inflation will accelerate, and the ruble will weaken;
◾ The room for circumventing sanctions is narrowing;
◾ If India switches to alternative suppliers, this will deprive Russia of a market share that is extremely important to it;
◾ The introduction of sanctions on Nord Stream operations "shuts down" potential loopholes and Moscow's "investment maneuvers" to return to the European market.
The Kremlin understands the severity of the economic consequences of continuing the war, but is not seeking a political solution. Russia understands that the US is also considering the possibility of imposing new sanctions, but there are currently no signs that Putin is ready for de-escalation and genuine peace talks.
Negotiations and the positions of the parties involved - the EU, the US, and China - are important factors that will determine how the situation develops and whether further sanctions will be imposed.
>part 2
Page 1