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7/15/2025, 12:41:07 AM
>>510387733
DON’T BELIEVE THE CONVENTIONAL WISDOM. UKRAINE CAN STILL LOSE.
>Defeat could take various forms. None of them are pretty.
>Soviet losses in World War II exceeded those of all other Allied forces combined and were roughly double those of Nazi Germany, whose capital, Berlin, ultimately fell to Red Army troops. Keep that in mind when you hear that Moscow can’t possibly sustain the colossal military and economic costs it is suffering from the Ukrainian bloodbath Russian President Vladimir Putin initiated three years ago in pursuit of his neo-imperial fever dream. It can.
> A Ukrainian defeat could take various forms. It would not necessarily mean Ukraine’s forces would crumble along the 750-mile front line, resulting in a catastrophic loss of territory and subsequent carnage, as Russian troops swept through Ukrainian towns and villages. The lethality and density of Ukrainian drone defenses, increasingly supplemented by robots, along with Russian logistical limits, mean Moscow’s forces still struggle to make game-changing advances.
>defeat might also mean that Kyiv is forced to sue for an unjust peace — one that subjugates it to Putin’s will — as it becomes increasingly unable to contain the damage of pulverizing Russian aerial bombardments.
>Conventional wisdom has also been of little value in forecasting the course of the war in Ukraine. On the upside, Ukrainian forces outperformed expectations by holding off Moscow’s all-out invasion in 2022, then rolled back some Russian advances later that year. But the following summer, Ukraine failed to deliver on sunny predictions that its heavily telegraphed counteroffensive could break Moscow’s lines.
>To use a phrase often attributed to Joseph Stalin, quantity has a quality of its own. And Russia’s massive quantitative edge over Ukraine, not least a nearly 4-1 advantage in population, exerts a gravitational force that over time cannot but erode Kyiv’s reserves of resolve and courage.
https://archive.md/ztHJq
DON’T BELIEVE THE CONVENTIONAL WISDOM. UKRAINE CAN STILL LOSE.
>Defeat could take various forms. None of them are pretty.
>Soviet losses in World War II exceeded those of all other Allied forces combined and were roughly double those of Nazi Germany, whose capital, Berlin, ultimately fell to Red Army troops. Keep that in mind when you hear that Moscow can’t possibly sustain the colossal military and economic costs it is suffering from the Ukrainian bloodbath Russian President Vladimir Putin initiated three years ago in pursuit of his neo-imperial fever dream. It can.
> A Ukrainian defeat could take various forms. It would not necessarily mean Ukraine’s forces would crumble along the 750-mile front line, resulting in a catastrophic loss of territory and subsequent carnage, as Russian troops swept through Ukrainian towns and villages. The lethality and density of Ukrainian drone defenses, increasingly supplemented by robots, along with Russian logistical limits, mean Moscow’s forces still struggle to make game-changing advances.
>defeat might also mean that Kyiv is forced to sue for an unjust peace — one that subjugates it to Putin’s will — as it becomes increasingly unable to contain the damage of pulverizing Russian aerial bombardments.
>Conventional wisdom has also been of little value in forecasting the course of the war in Ukraine. On the upside, Ukrainian forces outperformed expectations by holding off Moscow’s all-out invasion in 2022, then rolled back some Russian advances later that year. But the following summer, Ukraine failed to deliver on sunny predictions that its heavily telegraphed counteroffensive could break Moscow’s lines.
>To use a phrase often attributed to Joseph Stalin, quantity has a quality of its own. And Russia’s massive quantitative edge over Ukraine, not least a nearly 4-1 advantage in population, exerts a gravitational force that over time cannot but erode Kyiv’s reserves of resolve and courage.
https://archive.md/ztHJq
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