I have 30 pity, 8 rolls and 6500 poly.
Statistically I will pass pity on friday using rolls from the new patch daily login event.
I have won my last two 50/50s, reducing the probability of winning this one
I am incapable of completing end-game content due to being a new account with only one good team, reducing my pulls per patch, making reaching guarantee after losing pity highly improbable.
It is statistically unlikely I will acquire Mabibi.
And it is virtually impossible to also acquire Yanagi in the banner after.
It's really the most I can hope for to get one of them, since meebs is cute and yag is sex.