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7/6/2025, 12:43:58 PM
>1p
>Kamicha's repeated tsumogiri implies a likely tenpai. If it's a ryanmen wait, the only suji that haven't passed are 25s, 36s, and 58p. The chance of 2s dealing into oya mangan is then about 30%, not something we want to risk. By the way, this isn't something I considered when I drew the 2s. I'd been paying close attention to the dealer's discards since hitting tenpai on turn five. I was already thinking that I'd fold the next time I drew a musuji.
>Kamicha's repeated tsumogiri implies a likely tenpai. If it's a ryanmen wait, the only suji that haven't passed are 25s, 36s, and 58p. The chance of 2s dealing into oya mangan is then about 30%, not something we want to risk. By the way, this isn't something I considered when I drew the 2s. I'd been paying close attention to the dealer's discards since hitting tenpai on turn five. I was already thinking that I'd fold the next time I drew a musuji.
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