NGAfags make a revenue forecast model for NIKKE
>NIKKE International Server Q2 2025 Revenue
>The model's data source is based on the ranking data of the game NIKKE on the Apple App Store in Japan to predict the game's quarterly revenue. The ranking data comes from four charts: the overall chart (top-grossing ranking for all apps), the games chart (top-grossing ranking for game apps), and the sub-charts for card games and role-playing games. These rankings are the "independent variables" (input data), while the quarterly revenue is the "observed value" (the target we want to predict). The data covers seven quarters from July 1, 2023, to March 31, 2025, with revenue data sourced from SHIFT UP Corporation's financial reports. Subsequent financial reports are not used because they include the variable of the new Chinese server.
>Predicted revenue for Q2 2025: 33,960,775,925 Korean Won
>95% Confidence Interval (CI, for the predicted mean): 29,381,255,940 ~ 39,254,084,432 Korean Won
>95% Prediction Interval (PI, considering residual uncertainty): 28,444,985,502 ~ 39,476,566,348 Korean Won
>NIKKE Q2 2024 Revenue: 38,467,418,965 Korean Won.
>NIKKE Q2 2025 Revenue: 45,111,671,984 Korean Won. Due to the introduction of the Chinese server, the actual revenue cannot be determined.
Summary: Based on the predictions from iOS chart rankings, it is highly probable that the international server's revenue for the second quarter of 2025 (including the 2.5 anniversary) will indeed be very poor.