>>513019500
>manpower shortage
Janis Kluge estimates that 210k have joined the Russian army in H1 25 which is down from H2 24, but up compared to H1 24. However the casualty rate is much higher in 2025 versus last year.
I don't think this number includes the annual draught and I'm not sure whether conscripts are being sent to Ukraine. Constitutionally (lmao) conscripts aren't to be used in offensive wars, but Russia has pretended that 4 regions of Ukraine are now Russia so I suppose that waives away that legal requirement. An 18 year old conscript could legally be deployed to Donetsk because it's now Russia in their eyes.

Perversely as the economy back home shits the bed, there will likely be more people joining the war in order to get the juicy payout so they stop going bankrupt. I'm doubtful that there will be a manpower shortage for this current war of attrition but I agree that they won't try to mobilise their reserves again like 2022 for a big surge in manpower.