>>512931329
PoisonFrogs33 on twitter takes Ukraine death estimates and run them through a casualty calculation and then subtracts that from the Ukrainian population to estimate the number of days before To The Last Ukrainian. His telegram has an explanation of the numbers. His number are estimates based on estimates, but every time the fighting gets intense and the number of days dips below 150 there is always some new scheme (changing tactics, new sanctions, new wunderwaffen, catching more meat, a terror attack, a one sided peace proposal, etc). Therefore it may be actually somewhat reliable for tracking in a general sense how fucked Kiev is.