>>520511647
the fundamental problem that republicans have in this race is that winsome earle-sears is incredibly unlikable, a black women (in a white state), and endorsed desantis over trump
as a result you can see that while she will lose her race by ~6-8 points, it's actually possible for the lt gov and AG to go republican
also, while there is increased early voting for republicans in VA (because more republicans are getting comfortable with early voting), there is also strong turnout for the democrats
new jersey, however, is going to be much closer since the based mob boss has all the momentum up until the end. while i do think sherrill has the edge right now, everything can change if republicans surge the polls on election day. if there is massive turnout jack can actually win this thing
so as of right now you should expect
>VA GOV: loss
>VA LTGOV: close, but probably loss
>VA AG: close, but probably win
>NJ GOV: 50/50
>NYC mayoral race: lol