>China makes a bid for Taiwan.
>Low public support for yet another foreign intervention war.
>The USA has a modern navy but gimped industrial capacity has left a complete inability to replenish lost forces.
>Chinese specialization in a Pacific confrontation makes for incredibly difficult operations. Even equal trades in hardware are China favored due to limited US industrial capacity.
>American naval casualties inflame an already upset public. The USA pulls out after a handful of engagements.
>China wins in one year's time.
>Immediately signals the end of US global hegemony. USA backslides into chauvinist fascism to restore industrial capacity and dollar supremacy.
>Some states outright secede, others are rendered into a state of de-facto separation due to unrest.
>Federal authority begins to disintegrate. Skinheads, libertarians, etc, all make their own way.
>Second American civil war.

Find a flaw in this prediction of the next 15-20 years. Screencap all of this and spam it if the USA somehow wins the Pacific War.

Anything to the contrary of this prediction goes against all historical macro-trends.