>>519366962
It will carry on more or less how it's going right now. Hundreds of thousands of Russians will die for minimal territorial advances, none of which do significant harm to the strength and positioning of the AFU. The AFU are happy to continue implementing TZD in exchange for small territorial concessions.
The Russian government is exhausting more and more of its resources for the war and it's not able to hide the real cost of war, that is in terms of money and lives lost, to Joe Bloggsov from whom they require support for legitimate rule.
On the horizon there are signs of crippling banking failure. What happens when Russians either withdraw their cash en masse or fail to meet their loan obligations? Freezing bank accounts and seizing deposits would result in carnage and likely civil war. Some of the precursors leading to those events are already happening but they are happening slowly. And the Russian central bank does have ample reserves to prevent the very worst of crises at least.
All of these problems of resource management could be easily resolved with a Soviet-style command economy, where the Soviet Politburo controls all rubles and labour and assets. But what authority does the Russian government have to implement such broad sweeping features? Especially for a 3 day SMO in Ukraine. There's no revolutionary communist zeal in Russia to fight this war and it's nothing like Second World War where they had to defend from armies closing in on Moscow.
>end
Dunno, can't see that far into the future. Probably a banking crisis which forces Russia to withdraw and slash military spending to zero to get money to bail out their banks.
>analysis
I just read news and shitpost tbf