>>515203077
>One must not forget, Russia has zero interest in a full-scale war with NATO and the EU.
>Military inferiority: The combined NATO forces (32 members) far surpass Russia in technology (e.g., F-35 jets, advanced air defense) and readiness. The Ukraine war has exposed Russia’s logistical problems, high losses (over 600,000 estimated by 2025), and depleted arsenals. Against NATO, it would be pure suicide.
>Nuclear stalemate: Mutual destruction guaranteed. Putin threatens with nuclear weapons, but their use would reduce Moscow to rubble as well. The NATO triad (USA, UK, France) ensures certain retaliation; Russia’s hypersonic weapons are overrated against multilayered defense systems.
>Economic collapse: Sanctions have shrunk Russia’s GDP by 5–10% annually since 2022. A war with the EU (formerly its main trading partner) would cut off remaining energy exports, cause inflation to skyrocket, and bring the system to collapse. China won’t fully help. Xi wants Siberia cheap, not as a radioactive neighbor.
>Internal instability: Demographics in shambles, aging population, brain drain, war fatigue. Mobilizations have sparked protests; a new one would ignite revolts. Putin’s regime thrives on propaganda victories, not devastating defeats.
>No real gains: Conquering the Baltics or Poland? Pointless. It triggers Article 5, isolates Russia globally, and strengthens rivals like China. Hybrid methods (cyberattacks, sabotage) are cheaper and deniable.
>Russia is bluffing to block aid for Ukraine, not to start Armageddon. An attempt would end in catastrophe, like their “three-day operation.”
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