Yes, almost all young men (and far higher for non-young men). GSS/NSFG still puts it at around 13-16% of men 20-29 who haven't had sex with women.
>I don't believe in surveys
Even on /r9k/, incels are incredibly hard to find. I've made dozens of threads asking "incels" for their standards and it's routinely "not fat" (already above average in America), plus some combination of white, virginal, weeb, christian, etc. A huge portion of these self-proclaimed incels have had attention from women before (making them considerably attractive), and the remaining almost entirely only have been rejected maybe 0-1 times. Rare is the day I talk to a man who's been rejected by >1 obese hideous women.