Anonymous
10/18/2025, 10:10:12 AM
No.519180125
2027:
54 Senators
225 GOP Representatives to 210 Democrat
After VRA Section 2 removed: 244-191
After 2030 census, +10 seats in Republican states
2032-2040 Electoral College unwinnable for Democrats
Anonymous
10/17/2025, 5:08:06 PM
No.519120647
Democrats in South face wipeout if Supreme Court guts Voting Rights Act — NYT
Anonymous
10/15/2025, 11:20:06 PM
No.518983869
>>518983810
Yup. The electorate's about to get a whole lot whiter.
Anonymous
10/15/2025, 8:54:08 PM
No.518972798
The Senate is safely, if narrowly, GOP-controlled and will be for the foreseeable future. Purple states have all trended red. Senate RINOs are all retiring in their next election, or facing credible primary challenges from MAGA candidates. Still can't beat the filibuster in the foreseeable future, but Republicans will stop defecting to help Democrats defeat good presidential appointments, or cross the aisle to confirm radical far-left appointments if any Democrats manage to win back the presidency. At a minimum this will maximize legislative and judicial gains for the Republicans while minimizing the same for Democrats.
~30 seats in the House are racially gerrymandered to favor Democrats unconstitutionally from bad application of the VRA. SCOTUS is overturning the precedent that forced states to make them that way, which will trigger redistricting in numerous GOP-run states. There will be about 19 more House seats for the GOP by 2026 or 2028.
With the other redistricting by choice across the country, Republicans are going to gain about 12 more House seats in 2026 over the current GOP majority.
The Electoral College is already an uphill battle for Democrats, as we saw Trump easily win every "battleground state". But these aren't really battlegrounds anymore for the same reason the Senate is safely Republican now. There aren't any purple states now.
The 20 million Democrat votes that only appeared for a single election in 2020 aren't likely to come back in 2028 or any other election in the future.
The 2030 census will shift even more House seats to the red states for the 2032 House and Electoral College math. Starting in 2032, Democrats running for president basically can't win the Electoral College even if they sweep the "battleground states" as the gains are all in deep red states and losses mainly in blue and "purple" states.
SCOTUS and the Circuit Courts will be increasingly originalist through 2044.
