Thread 60788627

When does the bubble burst? Are we close?

What's truly nuts is that if Powell cuts rates in September as expected this shit gets even crazier

>>60788635
Rate cuts will be the sell sign, market will top in october and then downnnnnnnnnnn it goes for 8 months.

>>60788646
>downnnnnnnnnnn it goes for 8 months.
To ruin it for the midterms? What will be the reason for going down?

It's all waiting for some bad global news in my opinion, the next event that can shake our confidence in the global economy will cause a deadly drop back to 450

>>60788703
Because we should have had a market selloff but it got cucked in april, but an irrational market can only remain so until all the bears are dead.

>>60788707
>450
It'll hit 700 and go back to 500 and you'll be stuck holding your floppy weiner.

>>60788627 (OP)
>he doesn’t know

>>60788703
Why do you think El presidente is redistricting?

I wanna just hold a long put for the next month or so and wait for the end

The Golden Bullrun is just getting started

>>60788627 (OP)
the bubble bulges it doesnt burst. we are going maximum bulge

>>60788627 (OP)
There will always be "correction" but only up in long-tern like the population.

>>60788646
Down for 2-3 years. 50-80% retrace. Healthy correction after all this mania

>>60788627 (OP)
yes.
normie niggers are even speaking of it. That's a top signal omen for me. And you know how I feel about omens.

>>60788760
based bulge noticer

>>60788766
>thinking the population will continuing growing

Even Latin American fertility is starting to fall below replacement levels. Think about that.

>>60788627 (OP)
For the love of christ please don't let there be another great depression I can't do it

>>60789381
The great depression had a strong element of community, social trust and mutual aid, not to mention a currency with value
You're looking at the end of empire, and you'll beg for the great depression by comparison

>>60788627 (OP)
Gonna start loading up on SOXS and TECS

>>60788766
population isn't growing anymore though. Asia, India, Europe, America have sub 2.1 fertility rates. Only Africa is pumping

It's about to get parabolic

>>60791732
I don't know. At some point people won't be able to slurp anymore they'll have to buy ever expensive commodities. Most money management and investment funds are just facilitating the goyim to sluuuurp their 401ks. Once that dries up everything stops, I think that's why institutions are pulling profits even with inflation and inevitable printing.

>>60788627 (OP)
We are already if not close to internet bubble era
>but there's a new paradigm
lmao, I heard that one already. And indeed, the internet was a new paradigm. Just not yet and not at the CAPEX of back then. Same with AI, but with way, way worse CAPEX for measly shit returns.
https://www.wheresyoured.at/ai-is-a-money-trap/

>>60792451
We're going to surpass it. Look at the linear runways for both of those charts. We still have a ways to go (up) before any sanity is restored to these markets
The tower of babel isn't a physical building this time, but an idea fueled through fake and gay markets

look at the total chart from day one, this isn't a bubble that's going to pop. its just a hedge against inflation retard. there's only dips that you can buy in on. max 20-35% but the market will always get bailed out and continue making new ATH's. next 150 years of SP500 will just continue going up.

>>60788627 (OP)
divide it by m2 and then repost the chart

>>60792451
which company did 12B yearly revenue during the dotcom bubble?

>>60792566
Microsoft. Next question.

>>60788627 (OP)
>Are we close?

Are celebrities endorsing crypto? Do you hear normies talk about stocks? Are big players in the market buying lambos and showing off their wealth? When all three events coalesce the dumpening will commence and you'll know the financial boomercaust is nigh.

>>60788635
Does a rate cut really matter if they don't QE with it though...

A key misunderstanding is that this isn't like any other bubble in history. This isn't due to a trend, not even the AI fad. This is due to the collapsing buying power of the currency these assets are measured by. This isn't going to burst like any other bubble, it's going to pressurize until it explodes, taking our financial systems and much of first world society along with it

Never

Too many Boomers have their pensions in it and the system won't allow it to collapse like 08 or 2002. There might be a 10-15% downturn at worst but it'll always average 10% by year over the next few decades.

>>60788627 (OP)
never. line always go up

>>60792451
>it's totally the same this time!!

Not even Jamie Dimon knows when it's going to pop. But one thing is guaranteed: if you buy the market, you will inevitably make money unless it's the end of capitalism. But none of you are interested in that. You want to make short-term bets like total degenerates. That's why you want to know.

My take? Interest rates steady through September. How will the market react? Idk lol.

>>60793847
Buddy, the inflation we've had pales in comparison to what Argentina has been through in the past few years.

2027 when we don't have AGI like promised
too much cope in the market, it'll just keep on pumping until that happens

>>60793847
bears say this shit every bull run. look at the chart in log faggot and it's not so vertical. cope and seethe once SPY is at $700

>>60788736
Because democrats only got 58% of the vote in CA but 85% of the house seats, so TX is moving to do the same since democrats currently have 38% of the seats in TX while only being 44% of the vote.

>>60788627 (OP)
thats just a chart of inflation. notice house prices look like that too. and 1M isnt even enough to retire on anymore.

>>60792451
>buy in 2000
>you made a lot of money today
cool chart bro!

bros I want to buy voo so I don't end up poor but it's at ATH

>>60793847
Don’t let them know

>>60794352
Its always at an all time high. You could've made the same post last year, 5 years ago or 10 years ago and you would've lost money sitting in the sidelines

>>60788627 (OP)
within 60 days.

>>60788627 (OP)
literally every normie thinks there's a bubble. so around 3 more years until it forms and bursts

>>60788635
Funniest thing will be that Powell didnt bow to Trump. Rate cuts now will be seen as FED reacting to data, not because Trump asked them.
Trump will be furious at that and there is no way for him to undo that

>>60792824
not an internet company

>>60793937
>the market
>pumping
uh oh... someone doesn't know

>>60792890
this anon is beginning to understand.
"interest rate cuts" is a dogwhistle for "return of QE infinity"
actual interest rate cuts by the Fed are seen as a mere byproduct on the way to QE infinity.

>>60793923
>Not even Jamie Dimon knows when it's going to pop.
Like he'd tell you.

>>60788627 (OP)
im getting really tired of the infinite growth the past 5-10 years.
we need a worse 2008 crash to flood and reset the market.

>>60795061
We got le heckin Drumpf mad XD. We did it leddit!

>>60788635
He's never cutting rates, not ever. How can you not see this?

>>60788627 (OP)
What bubble

>>60795080
>too young to remember the browser wars
Go back to tik tok zoomie

>>60788627 (OP)
what bubble?
this isnt speculative excess into companies with no cashflow like the dotcom, this is the collapse of the currency in which the value of the assets is denominated

how many times must we post pic related before people understand it

>>60796022
For me it was HotBot.

>>60793847
The feds are not going to let inflation get out of control, 2020 was the exception to this rule.

>>60788635
Why would anyone cut rates when inflation is looming, unemployment is low, and every asset is at highest price ever?
Why is trump even pushing for it? Just because he’s a greedy asshole?

>>60793847
> This isn't due to a trend, not even the AI fad. This is due to the collapsing buying power of the currency these assets are measured by
Uhhh no retard this is why people use ratios where that devaluation is apparent on both sides of the equation.

>>60794366
That’s not true there are opportunities
I got in earlier this year during the tariff panic
That said, I had been holding off with a bunch of cash and will forever feel retarded for not fully loading up in 22-23 I missed out bigly.