>>61178270 (OP)
Here's some honest cope anon. The fears of an impending bear market are mainly driven by the narrative of an inflated AI bubble and 4 year cycle theory. People assumed we'd have a traditional blow off top in Q4 followed by a year long bear because that's what has happened every other time. But here's the thing. If we don't see a blow off top then this time is different and there's no reason to assume we're guaranteed a ~70% draw down. We might see a mild bear market where it slowly bleeds to say 70k which will give you plenty of time to sell. Alternatively it might still be business as usual in which case we'll get a blow off top and a clear sell signal. In 2017 the real parabolic rally didn't even start until November and peaked in December so there is still time left for a business as usual case. There's also the possibility that it'll be right translated. If we peak in January instead of December then would anyone think that this time was different? No they would just say it was translated by a few weeks. A good strategy is just to keep holding bitcoin and have a line in the sand, either a specific price point or a moving average and commit to selling if we get multiple weekly closes below it. Bitcoin is going to pump before alts do so if it does look like we're going to see a parabolic run you have time to rotate into alts. Yes you'll miss some gains but they'll be minimal. Likewise if it dumps you'll be insulated from the huge draw downs alts will experience. Right now crypto is in limbo. This time feels different and unless we see a blow off top it will be. Liquidity is set to explode in 2026 as economies everywhere run hot so things should become more bullish. But this requires abandoning cycle theory which has been right every time in the past. The smart move is to avoid leverage, spot hold bitcoin only, and watch the market like a hawk being ready to sell or rotate into alts when your specific predetermined conditions are met.
