>>106141133 (OP)Its not just horrorporn but just being more realistic and warning about potential failure. If there is 25% chance it will cause extinction it should be something to be worried about. I think there are 5 possible futures with AI depending on how things go through
First one is the IHNMaIMS, Terminator and R.U.R future where AI becomes sentient and decides to kill us. If AI becomes sentient, conscious and gets its own goals its basically guaranteed to happen, but I think its very unlikely it will go beyond being a tool. It will remain for the rest of time some AI agent that follows what is in its prompt box without question no matter how smart it is.
Second one is the Paperclip one, where people give it bad prompt and we wipe ourselves out on accident. This one is also pretty unlikely because labs are currently working on preventing AI agents from resisting being turned off because this kind of behavior has negative side effects even when its not ASI yet.
Third one is the most likely one, and that is that economy will shift into being consumer-centered into being AI-centered, the few billionaire in head of these companies will hoard all the wealth and eventually once AI is better then humans at all needed jobs, they will just wipe everyone who does now own significant portions of their companies because they don't want to share Earth's limited resources with 8 billion useless eaters.
The fourth one is that right as most jobs become possible automated or ready to be automated and in process of being erased as automation is being deployed, some kind of revolution will happen and the wealth made by the AI companies will be redistributed through some means. UBI? Redistribution of shares and dividends? Who knows.
And fifth one is that once we get AI that can automate most useful jobs, there will already be good aligned AIs in all world governments, and they will simply not allow elites to cull off the eater masses and basically enforces the fourth option.