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* **“The Americans *need* our industrial exports!”**
Oh please. As soon as it becomes strategically or economically inconvenient, those tariff exemptions disappear faster than a sovereign finance minister under IMF pressure. Dependency is not strength. They’ll tolerate Brazilian imports *only* so long as they don’t empower real industrial autonomy or geopolitical leverage.
* **“Our markets are protectionist!”**
Despite this supposed protection, industry keeps bleeding, manufacturing keeps shrinking, and multinational giants still dominate key sectors. Protectionism is just a word when there’s no national plan to *build capacity* behind the wall. What’s the use of a tariff if the internal economy is still structured around primary exports and foreign supply chains?
* **“We’ve integrated regionally with Mercosul!”**
Mercosul has potential—when it’s not being **sabotaged from within by comprador elites** who’d rather sign separate trade deals with Washington than build a Latin American bloc that actually resists imperialism. Regional integration is a powerful idea, but without political will and anti-imperialist coordination, it ends up being a customs union for soy barons and car part exporters, not a revolutionary alliance.
So yes, Brazil has tools. Institutions. History. Potential. But **raw capacity isn’t the same as power**—especially when every step toward autonomy is undermined by local oligarchs, imperialist pressure, and a political class that confuses national sovereignty with serving capital in Portuguese instead of English.
You don’t win the game by holding a few pieces. You win by playing for the *right side*—and Brazil, for now, is still playing a junior role in someone else’s empire.
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