>>63902361I’m not sure what you mean by the darts thing. The problem with ballistic missiles is that they are expensive. Stuff in Iran is cheaper, but I would guess than an MRBM still costs them at least 1 million. In contrast, Israel can throw JDAMs for 25-30k each, which makes this a losing proposition.
And disabling airbases with missiles is not easy. Holes in concrete can be filled relatively quickly, hardened shelters will stop a lot of drone and cluster attacks, and scrambling the aircraft upon launch can avoid losses from attacks targeting them. Despite years of Russian bombardment. The Ukrainian Air Force remains operational, and the IAF is probably more competent than them.
>>63905573If Iran restructures into a guerilla force, then their options for attacking Israel plummet, especially since Assad’s overthrow makes it harder for them to deliver weapons to Hezbollah.
Also, while guerillas hiding in the mountains will be very hard to remove from the air, their ability to prevent Israel from bombing oil infrastructure, ports, and the Iranian power grid is extremely limited.
If Iran wants to continue fighting Israel, they will have to persuade China to sell them stealth fighters.