>>64033171
It even gets to the point that out of 10 desertions, criminal proceedings are registered in certain units only for 2. That is, in a particular unit, there are five times more real deserters from the army than shown in official statistics!
3. Perspective, pure hypotheses. It can be assumed quite conservatively that the monthly reduction of the army could be 10-15 thousand people, and it is happening despite the mobilization efforts of the CCK and the campaign to attract volunteers. This assumption has not yet received any official confirmation, but it will be quite difficult to refute it.
And another "pure hypothesis". It is not the paper million that is really fighting, that is really holding the front. In fact, at best, it is 400-500 thousand (of which a very small part is at zero). Or even 300 thousand. And thus we see that at this rate, another 2 years - and there will be no one left at the front.
4. What to do about it. Either start implementing a mobilization policy (now the state is not implementing it comprehensively, everything has been dumped on almost "ordinary" military personnel - officials of the Central Military Commission), or radically reduce losses, or make the army's combat capability depend not on quantity, but on quality. However, this is a separate, big topic.
In any case, 2 years is an optimistic scenario if we leave everything as it is.
