>>64092675
> Russia is winning but at such a slow and pathetically high cost that eventually they'll hit a point where they can't advance anymore due to losses mounting of both personnel and equipment.
not even that
wars aren't fought to kill the other guy, they are fought to achieve goals. killing the other guy is just the cheaper way of achieving said goals compared to the alternatives.
the goals that russia set out to achieve, regime change by installing a stooge.
breaking Ukrainian identity
securing more of it's border behind defensible natural features and creating a buffer state
those can't be achieved by mere strength of arms any more
as such russia can't win this war because the goals it set out to achieve aren't possible anymore. at this point they are just digging deeper into a massive sunk cost fallacy.
it's even worse their NATO at home has been proven to be useless with the russians being unable to stop a war fought between two members.
it's achieved the inverse of what it wanted by promoting NATO expansion and they in turn have opened up an other possible invasion route straight into it's heartland.
all it can do is keep grinding ever forward paying more in blood and treasure than the ground they are taking will ever be worth. just so they can try and enforce a border that no longer serves it's purpose due to their own fuck up.
there is no more winning for them just the hope of a draw that isn't worth even a tenth of what it has cost them