>>507075729the only reason why the US is not hitting Iran is the following calculation
the strait of hormuz, most oil goes through there will crash the US economy
china will sperg out about losing their oil, russia might send missiles to iran to return the favor for ukraine
the other arab regimes can't too openly back israel so if this goes down no half measures are possible
iran is huge, mountainous, massive population worse than Iraq and much cohesive
a decapitation strike might cause a lashing out and huge burst of chaos and migration plus radicals where you do not want
to pacify it and to stop the above you need to engage in a ground war after covid and ukraine nobody has the stomach for that, its the US alone
recruitment numbers are in the gutter (some hispanics signed up to give abuela citizenship after trump but the surge did not happen, things are fucked)
you had US diversity troops die in their bed already once on base, first time in the sandbox due to drones flying the other way not good
math says you need a draft, arms supply and stock is lower due to ukraine as well
israel might tank the US if they go in in what they see as the only time window to attack Iran
first war I see the US could lose not just strategic but in the field