Countries with extremely low birthrates are the ones
that will weather the storm of AI and robotics the best in the next 20yrs.
Does your country have a lot of immigrants and birth rates above 1.0? Prepare for mass unemployment. Does your country have no immigration, low birth rates and even people leaving? Your country is well prepared for the coming storm!
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When the fertility rate drops, the number of girls born obviously drops (even more so in countries like China, where female foetuses are more often aborted than male). That means that there will be fewer women of child-bearing age, which in turn means that the fertility rate required to maintain the population goes up even higher. Rapid depopulation is the inevitable outcome..
For Jankiewicz, this can only be a good thing. “The fewer people the better is what we stand for,” she says. Even a pro-natalist like Morland, who describes himself as “unapologetically rightwing”, accepts that humanity must have a population limit. But he argues that its decline needs to be better managed and should be delayed until AI and robotics can replace labour - however, with the revolution in AI and robotics in recent years, it looks like countries with sharply declining working age populations right now will best manage the changes in the labour market. High population growth countries in Africa, Asia but also the West may, in contrast, face mass unemployment and societal upheavals as well as authoritarian governments even in historically democratically stable countries such as the USA.
Does your country have a lot of immigrants and birth rates above 1.0? Prepare for mass unemployment. Does your country have no immigration, low birth rates and even people leaving? Your country is well prepared for the coming storm!
—-
When the fertility rate drops, the number of girls born obviously drops (even more so in countries like China, where female foetuses are more often aborted than male). That means that there will be fewer women of child-bearing age, which in turn means that the fertility rate required to maintain the population goes up even higher. Rapid depopulation is the inevitable outcome..
For Jankiewicz, this can only be a good thing. “The fewer people the better is what we stand for,” she says. Even a pro-natalist like Morland, who describes himself as “unapologetically rightwing”, accepts that humanity must have a population limit. But he argues that its decline needs to be better managed and should be delayed until AI and robotics can replace labour - however, with the revolution in AI and robotics in recent years, it looks like countries with sharply declining working age populations right now will best manage the changes in the labour market. High population growth countries in Africa, Asia but also the West may, in contrast, face mass unemployment and societal upheavals as well as authoritarian governments even in historically democratically stable countries such as the USA.
