Thread 512603669

New Zeihan just dropped. China has 10 years before they collapse in 2035.

>>512603669 (OP)
>geopolitical analyst
He's a grifter. An actual one.

>>512603669 (OP)
Zeihan won
Heil Zeihan

>>512603669 (OP)
I joe Rogan pol approved? I thought he was a certified zogbot

>>512603669 (OP)
2 more weeks

Zeihan was on Rogan? Prepare yourselves for
>chinks malding
>jeets celebrating
>russoids questioning

two more weeks

>>512603669 (OP)
>10 years
these things usually take longer than people think, yet everybody is surprised when it actually happens

>>512603734
.

>>512603669 (OP)
Theres a gif of a truck heading to crash into a wall that never ends. This is china in zeihans grift.

>>512603813
It shall be but a fortnight

Trust the plan, ten more years.
- Z (for Zeihan(TM))

>>512603669 (OP)
he said exactly the same thing more than 10 years ago
Zeichan is always wrong

>>512604085
Lol

Why I said on 40 am done with women

The only situations where a country can be said to "collapse" is due to sudden cutoffs in their trade. Sudden, as what happens when one morning the only bridge out was bombed or some 100% tariffs get imposed or something similar. That kills, you still have all your production capacity but no suppliers and no customers. Your customers also lose you as a supplier, and your suppliers lose you as a customer. Its like cutting a person in half.

Lmfao. And what did they say abiut China ten years ago? I remember when they were supposed to collapse before holding the Olympics in 2008.

>>512603734
What makes his grift so bad is that he literally works for the MoD as an advisor so you have this boomer giving other boomers the worst fucking takes. This country deserves to burn from its own incompetence

>>512603789
dont be a poof

>>512604133
So, like sanctions?
What about boycotting and divestment?
Can they also cause a country to collapse?

>>512604283
Well I just want to know if my YouTube clicking is acceptable. I don't want to be a silly duffer ya know cobba

>>512603669 (OP)
>New Zeihan just dropped
I believe last time his name was Gordon Chang

>>512603669 (OP)
520 weeks divided by 260 is... 2 weeks!

>>512603669 (OP)
https://youtu.be/-KFH--_cdiI?t=83

>>512604471
>Can they also cause a country to collapse?
of course. Its more likely for small countries as they absolutely depend on a system of imports and exports. At least Russia can sort of be self sufficient to a modest technological level, and the US would be able to make everything and only lose top level computer chips and exotic coffee. We would run out of oil like in a week

>>512603669 (OP)
he said this in 2010 and he was....le wrong

>>512603669 (OP)
>Grifting NPC talking heads
Such an iconic duo

>>512603669 (OP)
>TEN MORE YEARS
sir you have been saying this since 1995

I need a China collapse forecast widget on my phone next to the weather forecast and stock market widgets.

>>512604133
Fuck off kike

>A country that is 3,000 years old has 10 years left

10 years left before what?

>>512604860
I sense a diamond hands enthusiast. How fat are your margins?

>>512604133
You can make this analysis from Israel because you have a global diaspora which controls an imperial trade network run by Jews with a servant underclass lmao

I envy you

>>512603669 (OP)
>China has 10 years before they collapse in 2035
hopefully they get all their land back before then.

>>512603669 (OP)
life of a doom merchant (eternal)
>xyz is dying/doomed/collapsing in 2 weeks!!
>say this every week
>will eventually come true
>SEE I TOLD YOU
niggers

>>512604647
>Its more likely for small countries
So, a small country of less than maybe 10m people...
They'd be the most likely to collapse under international sanctions?
And boycotting and divestment?

>>512603669 (OP)
russia colapses 2 weeks later
we won sisters

>>512604964
I'm actually underleveraged but that's because I'm shorting front month VIX futures for the long run and I intend to survive a VIX 100 spike without changing anything without getting margin called.

>>512604977
>I envy you
I moved to Israel from a country that was fucked by jews. Fucked by blocking their trade. We didnt get no foreign aid, we sold things and bought others and were banned from the market

>>512605101
trade sanctions more than divestment, either way with trade sanctions no one would invest in you. Imagine if a place like Cyprus or Belize had that happen to them. Belize might revert to Bananas to survive

Does anyone have the clip of him aging saying the same thing for decades?

>>512604954
Before another 3000 years begon

>>512603669 (OP)
You Don't Mess with the Zeihan

>>512605617
You know what, I actually love that movie. Even as a based and redpilled jew hatin' white supremacist that movie makes me feel cosy and happy for some reason.

>>512603669 (OP)
>year 20 of china’s collapse in 10 years
Fuck’s sake.
>but you don’t get it maaan the demographics maaan
His central argument is the worst. When birth rates plummet they lose a bunch of farmers they were trying to shed anyway. That’s their whole leap frog strategy of urbanization and modernization.
The key difference is chinks will NEVER let their countries be overrun by takers. If they need workforce they will get pajeets or africans and they will have no fucking rights at all and be a slave caste at best. No mixing it up, no bleeding heart welfare state to care for them, no integration of their brave and exciting culture. Come here, work, die or fuck off back home.

And that will be the only way mass labour importing is going to work.
Meanwhile in the west we’ll choke on our “newcomers”, who add more burden to the system than they contribute.

Autocracy sucks in many ways but they have answers we refuse to even consider.

>>512605186
Lmao based. How much in overnight Gibs do you milk them?

>>512607411
The gains are in the monthly rollovers, basically you secure gains when you exchange the expiring front month contract for the usually more expensive next contract. Right now contango is pretty high (VIX index is 15.15, front month that expires in a week is $16.8, following contract is $19.1) so you can get $2-$3 per contract, but the historical long term average is more around $1.

Due to my chosen risk exposure I allocate $90 per contract, so long term I should gain an average of $1/month for every $90 I allocate so expecting +13%/year long term is reasonable, currently in the short term it's just a lot more because things are going well. Right now I have 150 contracts. Anytime I'll gain $900 I'll add 10 more.