>>516648142
Élysée has put itself in an impossible position. Their claim to influence was their ability to project power across Europe as a deterrent to Russia, and down the coast of Africa as a bulwark against the same (+ China). In Ukraine they have been completely neutered, but the fuck up is shared between other nations so they have all decided to just give each other perfect reviews and hope the plebs don't notice. However, Macron has led you to a resounding defeat in Africa and his cabinet meetings focus heavily on how to reverse that. If he wants to exert any type of genuine leverage in the world, he needs to control the port areas from Abidjan to Douala, and ideally around the Cape. The Russians and Chinese are very effectively preventing this and if he admits to France that he lost your status as a great power, it means severe collapse. As a result he needs to keep everyone chained in place while ferventing searching for some miracle. As we all know, sending conscripts to Ukraine or Africa is political suicide and that is basically his only option left.
>Tl;dr: his left hook into Ukraine has been shattered and the Russians have grabbed his right wrist in Africa. They are now punching him in the face with his own hands while yelling suka blyat and laughing. Shit is grim and he isn't allowed to admit defeat.