Thread 518763314

According to him China has

>The worst geography on the planet
>Completely surrounded by 3 hostile superpowers(America, India, Russia) and a whole host of hostile regional powerhouses like Japan/SK/Taiwan/Vietnam
>The worst demographics on earth
>Extreme food and fuel insecurity, they will starve within days without food or oil imports
>Worse corruption than the Russians, society is worse than India, government is extremely incompetent-NK tier in fact
>An extremely low skilled population
>Complete inability to innovate, 20-30 years behind America and Europe in technology and science
>A weaker army than Russia and a weaker navy than Japan/SK/UK
>Complete reliance on global trade when their green water naval can barely defend their coastal waters and when they're deindustrializating fast and global trade is breaking down
>The worse debt crisis in the world, one of the highest unemployment rates in the world, on the verge of total economical meltdown
>Losing their industry to India at an extremely rapid rate

China has literally nothing good going for them. They're playing on nightmare mode. Zeihan doesn't have a single nice thing to say about them. Not a single one. Frankly, I'm amazed at how China hasn't collapsed yet. Their situation is super fucked. Zeihan's take on China is sobering and one of the harshest redpills on any country I've seen a professional geopolitical analyst give to any country. He even says that Russia has a brighter future than them. He says that China will be a Haiti tier failed state within a decade guaranteed by all this various factors. China is so fucking done, it's completely over for them. They are already dead

Fascinating that he says this, what race and sexual orientation is this man btw?

>>518763314 (OP)
i dont get how this guy has followers at all

>>518763314 (OP)
his fundamentals seem fine bc chinas demographics really are fucked but im not really sure about the broad conclusions he draws from them

demographic stuff happens on the timescale of years to decades, so it will take a long time to see if he's vindicated

>>518763316
He speaks very well.
>>518763315
Since nobody replied to this I will answer myself. He is gay and Jewish

>>518763314 (OP)
Whjew is that?

>>518763318
proof on jewish? i thought he was adopted

I mean, you can send their general population back to the ching chong dynasty just by cutting off all trade with them

free trade was a mistake

>>518763314 (OP)
T
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>>518763317
Every major power on Earth looks like this right now. They were just hiding this rot by importing shittons of illegal aliens instead of addressing the problems that lead to this curvature.

>>518763318
I think people of his ethnic group endlessly seethe over China because
1. It's difficult for his ethnic brethren to gain access to Chinese markets, thus manipulating and subverting the country from within is off the table.
2. China out-competes other countries without needing to import ceaseless waves of the 'best and brightest' Indians and Africans, demonstrating that the purported economic advantages of multiculturalism are totally fake and gay

>>518763322
Also ourselves into the stone age. We now have two solid generations of Americans who have never worked in a factory or done precise labor before. Including one generation that's almost exclusively Mestizo hybrid and have extreme difficulty learning complicated tasks.

This isn't getting into the fact that almost all unionized labor is now a thing of the past because Paco and Jamal can do it out of their van for pennies with no accreditation and no one stops them.

It would be impossible, functionally, to create a manufacturing sector remotely viable in America anymore. All of the pillars that made it possible were knocked down and sold for scrap.

>>518763326
And if you want proof of this, see if you can source an American made capacitor, or resistor, or any small part that is needed in the thousands to make something as simple as a microwave. Then realize why the Tariffs are really fucking dumb.

>>518763327
more than that, look for a capacitor made in any country outside china at all, and then when you find it check where the goo inside it was made

>>518763314 (OP)
No one worth a damn listens to this guy and his entire 'career' is crying that no one will listen to his doomer takes instead of acknowledging he's fucking stupid. He's exactly like that Weinstein retard who convinced himself he's a genius with no basis at all, which is exactly why he was ousted from academia. If you buy into this senseless grift you're so much worse than either of them are and should kill yourself, by the way. And before you cry some faggot shit about the Jews wake up and realize people don't like you because you're a fucking loser and not because you're victimized by muh deep state juden you inbred cuck.

>>518763325
>2. China out-competes other countries without needing to import ceaseless waves of the 'best and brightest' Indians and Africans, demonstrating that the purported economic advantages of multiculturalism are totally fake and gay
People need to realize this is the actual reason every world leader and banker wants multiculturalism and endless migrants. Not because they're woke or hate white people or anything like that, it's directly and effectively an attack on the regulations and laws of a host country to undermine their working class and its protective measures.

We don't have a manufacturing base anymore and it's because nobody can beat Pajeesh and Nguyen making slop for ¢2 a day. Same way we soon won't have a service sector because nobody can compete with Paco asking 100 pesos an hour. The US effectively has no job market., at least the real statistics should reflect a nation closer to South Africa or Brazil when you subtract under-the-table and exported business.

>>518763330
communists have been saying this for 150 years, lenin even wrote a book on it (imperialism, the highest stage of capitalism)

>>518763314 (OP)
>The worst geography on the planet
How so? Iirc they've the most arable land.
>Completely surrounded by 3 hostile superpowers(America, India, Russia) and a whole host of hostile regional powerhouses like Japan/SK/Taiwan/Vietnam
This I agree
>The worst demographics on earth
Also agreed
>Extreme food and fuel insecurity, they will starve within days without food or oil imports
Also agree but this isn't unique to China and fuel imports will be less relevant as we move to non fossil fuels.
>Worse corruption than the Russians, society is worse than India, government is extremely incompetent-NK tier in fact
This is retarded
>An extremely low skilled population
Even more retarded
>Complete inability to innovate, 20-30 years behind America and Europe in technology and science
More like 5-10 years behind America, yes. Europe? Lol no.
>A weaker army than Russia and a weaker navy than Japan/SK/UK
Agree
>Complete reliance on global trade when their green water naval can barely defend their coastal waters and when they're deindustrializating fast and global trade is breaking down
This is just a what if. Global trade isn't going to break down, it's just chud day dreams lol.
>The worse debt crisis in the world, one of the highest unemployment rates in the world, on the verge of total economical meltdown
I agree.
>Losing their industry to India at an extremely rapid rate
Lol

>>518763314 (OP)
>Complete reliance on global trade when their green water naval can barely defend their coastal waters and when they're deindustrializating fast and global trade is breaking down
This sentence is grammatically retarded. Try again.

is the meme correct? do americans actually think that they are the center of the world?

>>518763324
>hiding this rot
It's more like they're actively burning the place down. An inverse age pyramid is a survivable problem. Millions of shitjeets in your country is not, unless you're prepared to remove them by force, which is in any case a huge expenditure of resources.

>>518763335
That's a problem for later-them. They don't care about it now because in their eyes, you fighting with rapejesh for resources is objectively a good thing because you'll be too concerned making ends meet to bother protesting or becoming a politician

>>518763327
NACC makes capacitors in the USA. I checked the back of our shop and their Mallory capacitors were the first brand I found. But aside from that...

>Then realize why the Tariffs are really fucking dumb.
"shit getting made overseas" happened precisely because the USA lifted tariffs on a hostile foreign power in the hopes of getting them to team up against the USSR, you dumb fuck. The answer to that isn't "keep on free trade forever" it's "put tariffs in place, suffer the higher costs for a while as you re-establish domestic production", and NEVER DO THAT RETARDED FREE TRADE SHIT AGAIN.

Two more weeks, ameritranny.

>>518763314 (OP)
As a white man, I'm feeling confident on starting a war against them.

>>518763577
You lost to houthis, ameritranny. And you will lose to venezuela.

>>518763314 (OP)
>The worst geography on the planet
Worse than Africa? Thomas Sowell did a great little essay on how shit African geography is.

>>518763314 (OP)
So he’s bearish on China?

>>518763314 (OP)

>Haiti tier failed state within a decade guaranteed

They do have a consistent history of devolving into civil war with Warlords controlling parts of the country and shit, but I don't know if is going to happen that fast. A decade sounds unrealistic.

>>518763314 (OP)
Buy an ad you filthy useless kike scammer.
20 years of China will collapse in 2 weeks.
Kill yourself retarded kike.
The fucking mod/ janny should be horse whipped for bring you stupid niggers to /pol/ GET THE FUCK OUT

>>518763336
Meanwhile the only protests are against ICE

>>518763314 (OP)
two more weeks

Thats an absolute gay kike visage/facial expression if I ever saw one.

>CHINA WILL FALL AND BROKE IN TWO WEEKS

My faggot youtube algorithm just started recommending me 10 videos shit talking china daily suddenly a few months ago. The chinks surely did something to make kikes afraid.
Or nothing happened and they just use wathever shit they can push to further the "us vs you" shit mentality kikes want every goy under.

>>518763314 (OP)
He such a retarded gorilla nigger or a blatant well posiner it's just unbelievable.

> The worst geography on the planet
You pretty much can stop reading from this point already.
China Plain was the most populated place on earth for not just centuries, but millennia.
How do people still blindly listen to him is beyond me.

(Kike) boomers who only make hate videos on China none can afford 40-60k cars with a subscription model around the world.
Even European can't afford to buy junk from the US

>>518763317
>chinas demographics really are fucked
They're not.
People can't give a single reason why natural population decline is bad.
The main argument about there not being enough young people to physically take care of old people was debunked a few seconds after it was first made, with automation.
China is the world leader in robotics currently and already have fully automated dark factories, their elderly care will just use robots.

Of course what the west really means when they say it is that the ponzi scheme of social security that is funded by latter generations will be insufficient to take care of the elderly, but China doesn't have that problem.

>>518763314 (OP)
I've been seeing these, "China is about to collapse soon" videos for years now and nothing happens lol

>>518766468
Just wait for 2030

>>518763314 (OP)
buy an ad you kike faggot

>>518763314 (OP)

Zeihan is just another shill for the DC consultant class. Like most analysts, his reports are full of wishmaking and cherry picked facts to assure policymakers that their poorly conceived assumptions are correct. None of his shit is to be taken seriously, but he does provide a good insight into the thinking of the American Deep State.

>>518763314 (OP)
The last time he had a thumbnail about China was 4months ago.. what happened?

>>518766468
>I've been seeing these, "China is about to collapse soon" videos for years now and nothing happens lol
They've been doing it since the USSR collapsed.

>>518763314 (OP)
Qoq even zeihan is pessimistic about china?

>>518763326
We could try to cope with Robotics but China is a massive leader in that already...

>>518763314 (OP)
Most of these points seem like he compared them 1-1 against the USA, saw the USA had an advantage, and then pretended that because the USA is better off in these metrics China is last. Like worst Geography? Is he retarded? Look at Iraq, where their entire supply of freshwater is in the hands of other countries upstream, they have no natural defenses geographically, and their access to the coast is a tiny ass strip of land right next to a major US ally in Kuwait.

>>518768629
There was a china video 3 weeks ago

>>518763314 (OP)
>gay jew says stuff
>no data to back his claims
Thank you rabbi!

>>518770957
Refute his points

>>518763314 (OP)
>Completely surrounded by 3 hostile superpowers(America, India, Russia)
America is nowhere near China, you fucking retard. China will be ok. You could make a similar list of problems for any big nation.

This guy looks more and more crazy as time passes

>>518771645
2 MOAR WEEKS!

>>518763314 (OP)
>superpowers
>India
he's just having a giggle

>>518763314 (OP)
I'm not a fan of china at all
But he's hilariously wrong.

1. its geography isnt the worst on the planet, that goes to Chile, which is divided in fucking half by a mountain range and one half is barely habitable..
2. Russia is a failed state already, the parts that surround China are Russian in name only, because no one else would want to claim that land, no one really lives there, those who do wouldnt fucking care if their land belonged to whoever as long as they were left alone.
3. this part is true. Mao fucked China pretty good here. However it's going to correct for the better. they will have a massive decline of people, but more people != better. They can barely afford to feed most of their population, by 2040, most of the male only generations will be dying off, bringing their population down to a sustainable level, and will still have a sizable population.
4. Top levels of government have their shit together, the lower governments are retarded, this is intentional. they're there to make the top levels of government look like the saviors.
5. see #3, most of the unskilled rural people will be dying off in the next 2-3 decades. They have plenty of skilled people.
6. As far as we know. They are building it up. They have the means to turn that around very fast.
7. This is why they are hoarding gold and branching out like the US used to do. They are building themselves up to be better as we speak.
8. This part is very true and they do not care because at the end of the day they keep their armies well fed and have weathered worse and survived.
9. More like to Vietnam and anyone willing to run sweatshops for western nations. However it's stupid to ignore the fact they still maintain the capacity to outproduce all those nations easily.

China isnt fucked, but they arent going to do well for a while. They are stubborn and will find a way to survive.

However his points about Russia are false. Russia is past replacement levels and is already beyond fucked