Thread 16791025

My wife is pregnant with our second child. Our first was a boy. She really wants a daughter, and is very nervous going into the anatomical ultrasound since the biological reality is that each child's sex is a coin flip. I, a mathematics genius, reassured her that luck is on her side. After all, our son was born on a tuesday.

>>16791025 (OP)
Kek

GIRL.

Listen, it's a either a frickin 51.85% chance or a heckin 66.67% chance depending on how you read your sentences okay? I already made a spreadsheet AND asked Grok! STOP MOCKING SCIENCE

>>16791045
OP says he already has 1 boy. The probability of 2 coin flips being heads is 0.50 × 0.5 = 0.25

There's a 75% probability of the baby being a girl, obviously.

>>16791049
Are you dumb?
There's only two possibilities here: either its a girl or it isnt. 50/50

>>16791055
The likelihood of getting 2 boys is thw same as getting 2 coin flips landing the same in a row. It's 25%, thus the likelihood of a girl is 75%

Since OP's son was born on a tuesday it actually becomes 51.85% because of conditional probability though

>>16791049
>>16791065
I know you're trolling, but llm worshipping bayesian reasoners actually believe this. Please don't bait out another one of these threads

I just asked gpt5 and it said it's 13/27

nice sophon thread

>>16791080
Um actually I asked Claude and it said the probability was 6/7